Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640294512f3f9d9c0e15bd539d4902308b0fb67b92b9dc80de0a3b1ae97f4389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof Texas A&M Aggies, LSU Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,341 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Texas A&M Aggies | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed LSU Tigers | 54c | 3,433$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.9 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 2,312$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 2,222$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.12 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas A&M Aggies | 37c | 997.29$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas A&M Aggies | 46c | 856$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.76 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 852.48$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 591.4$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.7 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed LSU Tigers | 65c | 582.03$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Texas A&M Aggies | 47c | 499.12$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 450.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.59 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 48c | 165.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed LSU Tigers | 52c | 120.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas A&M Aggies | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed LSU Tigers | 49c | 91.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked LSU Tigers | 52c | 71.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked LSU Tigers | 73c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 61.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed LSU Tigers | 66c | 58.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Texas A&M Aggies | 35c | 42.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed LSU Tigers | 60c | 41.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…ee20backed LSU Tigers | 53c | 35.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LSU Tigers | 61c | 33.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…b137backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked LSU Tigers | 50c | 21.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed LSU Tigers | 50c | 20.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-3.5)this page
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies (-2.5)Texas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU TigersTexas A&M Aggies won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 158.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 159.5Over won
- Texas A&M Aggies vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 160.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.