Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ac3d6718cca07045a51c7192b934e55b1dd941cd8163864b3bf8122ff758a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bradley Bravesof Valparaiso Beacons, Bradley Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,225 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dc8…da92backed Bradley Braves | 56c | 7,052$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 32c | 2,787$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.96 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 33c | 2,658$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.96 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Bradley Braves | 68c | 2,481$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.91 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 2,342$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.74 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Valparaiso Beacons | 46c | 2,086$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.5 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bradley Braves | 57c | 1,767$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.64 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 1,586$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Bradley Braves | 69c | 1,470$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.75 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 38c | 1,109$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cc…9b18backed Bradley Braves | 63c | 1,066$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e88…f3c9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 1,012$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.33 | 97 | 29.9%29 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 995$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.3 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Bradley Braves | 66c | 984.63$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.77 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Valparaiso Beacons | 40c | 949.75$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.12 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Valparaiso Beacons | 36c | 797.74$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 43c | 597.91$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bradley Braves | 68c | 586.33$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.4 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 583.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.04 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 31c | 529.31$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 474.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 458.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Bradley Braves | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 47c | 420.86$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Valparaiso Beacons | 22c | 369.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 39c | 361.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 327.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Valparaiso Beacons | 27c | 306.49$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 246.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 316 | 46.8%148 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 31c | 234.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.73 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Valparaiso Beacons | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 198.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 51c | 194.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa59b…d11ebacked Valparaiso Beacons | 33c | 194.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Valparaiso Beacons | 26c | 186.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 44c | 168.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…bc62backed Bradley Braves | 78c | 144.73$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 142.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Valparaiso Beacons | 41c | 119.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Bradley Braves | 65c | 112.94$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…d3dbbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 45c | 110.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Valparaiso Beacons | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bradley Braves | 62c | 97.15$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Valparaiso Beacons | 19c | 96.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Bradley Braves | 55c | 88.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…5227backed Bradley Braves | 27c | 62.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bradley Braves | 67c | 62.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Valparaiso Beacons | 41c | 55.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 54.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bradley Braves | 47c | 52.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Valparaiso Beacons | 34c | 52.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Valparaiso Beacons | 24c | 50.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 38c | 47.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Valparaiso Beacons | 35c | 42.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Bradley Braves | 45c | 39.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bradley Braves | 42c | 39.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bradley Braves | 64c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Bradley Braves | 51c | 35.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Bradley Braves | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc6…7affbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 43c | 24.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Valparaiso Beacons | 69c | 22.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Valparaiso Beacons | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Valparaiso Beacons | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Bradley Braves | 68c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200b…b596backed Bradley Braves | 71c | 14.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Bravesthis page
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-4.5)Bradley Braves won
- Spread: Bradley Braves (-5.5)Bradley Braves won
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 135.5Over won
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 136.5Over won
- Valparaiso Beacons vs. Bradley Braves: O/U 139.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.