Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. Binghamton Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8208b9e9cd666eaa69a27f3b07a4ce39eda1ce212207cade055aeb541211c386
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Binghamton Bearcatsof Maine Black Bears, Binghamton Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 62c | 4,244$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 69c | 2,346$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.69 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Maine Black Bears | 37c | 1,991$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.02 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Maine Black Bears | 30c | 1,541$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.02 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Maine Black Bears | 41c | 1,523$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.57 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Maine Black Bears | 32c | 1,412$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.93 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maine Black Bears | 24c | 617.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maine Black Bears | 24c | 591.91$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.49 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Maine Black Bears | 53c | 489.41$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Binghamton Bearcats | 47c | 476.15$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.25 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 77c | 459.61$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maine Black Bears | 18c | 430.07$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maine Black Bears | 51c | 374.69$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.09 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maine Black Bears | 31c | 332.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Maine Black Bears | 51c | 299.02$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Binghamton Bearcats | 48c | 199.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Maine Black Bears | 23c | 190.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…2c69backed Maine Black Bears | 54c | 183.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Maine Black Bears | 53c | 172.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maine Black Bears | 33c | 149.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Maine Black Bears | 16c | 134.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Binghamton Bearcats | 48c | 123.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0809…b2f4backed Binghamton Bearcats | 74c | 107.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Binghamton Bearcats | 75c | 101.47$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 48c | 99.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Maine Black Bears | 51c | 51.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 50.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…8b38backed Binghamton Bearcats | 77c | 49.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 50c | 44.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Maine Black Bears | 35c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Binghamton Bearcats | 47c | 37.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maine Black Bears | 39c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maine Black Bears | 28c | 35.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 51c | 25.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Binghamton Bearcats | 67c | 22.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.