CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f389fc084af213f690fc49d2e9fb19ce7cb13ce65cf29d4c23988306731a3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 751.14$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.03 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 62c | 660.47$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.6 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Over | 72c | 599.98$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…2a84backed Under | 28c | 473.68$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.7 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Under | 25c | 338.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.75 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Under | 62c | 315.38$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 57c | 217.57$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 14c | 209.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Under | 56c | 131.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 65c | 125.2$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 44c | 98.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 12c | 86.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…4961backed Under | 65c | 75.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 25c | 57.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 66c | 57.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 37c | 52.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 44c | 49.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…6944backed Under | 75c | 49.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Over | 42c | 48.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 70c | 44.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Under | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 29c | 38.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 30c | 34.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a5…08c5backed Over | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Under | 63c | 31.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Under | 67c | 29.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41df…149abacked Over | 38c | 27.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Under | 68c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf523…f3e6backed Over | 73c | 20.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)3DMAX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.