CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a23222d16b80e9722e7d34a451d9adfd31687305c58354dca1f7eb206223a91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof PARIVISION, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,049.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed 3DMAX | 55c | 8,892$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,027.49 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 6,941$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.34 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,457$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.54 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,878$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.86 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 2,678$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.78 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 3DMAX | 32c | 2,544$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.73 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,365$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.1 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe9…c6dcbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 2,159$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.35 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed 3DMAX | 54c | 1,999$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.68 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 1,890$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.71 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed 3DMAX | 55c | 1,772$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.09 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed 3DMAX | 53c | 1,502$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.95 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed 3DMAX | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,475$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.63 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,157$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.18 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed PARIVISION | 47c | 861.94$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed 3DMAX | 55c | 818.93$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed PARIVISION | 47c | 697.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.64 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed 3DMAX | 53c | 647.87$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 595.85$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.97 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 580.92$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.03 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed 3DMAX | 42c | 386.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.32 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed 3DMAX | 56c | 379.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 315.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.13 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed PARIVISION | 44c | 302.1$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed 3DMAX | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 55c | 281.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed 3DMAX | 54c | 226.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed PARIVISION | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed PARIVISION | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed PARIVISION | 44c | 183.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed PARIVISION | 46c | 157.76$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed PARIVISION | 48c | 148.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed PARIVISION | 46c | 119.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION | 46c | 104.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 3DMAX | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 98.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed PARIVISION | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed PARIVISION | 47c | 95.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed PARIVISION | 46c | 90.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 3DMAX | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed 3DMAX | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 50c | 75.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed PARIVISION | 47c | 73.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed PARIVISION | 42c | 72.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed PARIVISION | 67c | 65.67$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 62.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed 3DMAX | 50c | 60.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked 3DMAX | 40c | 59.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed 3DMAX | 49c | 50.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed PARIVISION | 47c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 43.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed 3DMAX | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…5d9cbacked 3DMAX | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…502bbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 39.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed 3DMAX | 54c | 35.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1483backed 3DMAX | 56c | 34.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 34.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…f0aabacked PARIVISION | 45c | 33.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…9419backed 3DMAX | 55c | 33.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.28per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed 3DMAX | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed 3DMAX | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed 3DMAX | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed PARIVISION | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed 3DMAX | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 266 | 60.9%162 W · 104 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed PARIVISION | 60c | 18.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed 3DMAX | 55c | 18.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 3DMAX (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner3DMAX won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.