TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FaZeof Astralis, FaZe
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,302 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked FaZe68c6,636$4,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.123,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5978…aec4backed Astralis31c2,601$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80022938%87 W · 142 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Astralis25c2,430$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.736245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Astralis33c844$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5255236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FaZe67c844$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.5246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Astralis33c757$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8120238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7353…b476backed Astralis30c658.21$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.469246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed FaZe68c500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16020944%92 W · 117 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed Astralis32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1608242.7%35 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FaZe70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0c…298dbacked FaZe73c443$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30e9…e86cbacked Astralis27c411$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Astralis45c398$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.15,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x654d…021dbacked Astralis27c360$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…778cbacked Astralis43c322$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac25…7410backed Astralis27c288$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a84…2242backed Astralis28c287$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab0…b709backed Astralis27c282$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03a2…1f75backed FaZe72c273$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb47…26d3backed FaZe73c268$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e99…3348backed FaZe73c268$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1c…0b56backed Astralis28c267$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9139…2bacbacked FaZe72c261$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f4…f79dbacked FaZe72c258$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…d2bfbacked FaZe72c251$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+112.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8147…2affbacked FaZe72c251$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked Astralis20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031933.5%107 W · 212 L-0.8wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed FaZe50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12517857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x91a2…6f42backed FaZe72c240$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ba9…0368backed FaZe72c226$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f37…f071backed Astralis28c222$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64c…d5febacked Astralis28c219$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…2482backed FaZe72c213$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa41…e96dbacked Astralis28c208$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3507…0cb4backed FaZe80c207$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+78.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90d1…890dbacked Astralis28c201$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked FaZe69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6213947.5%66 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08bb…3ba9backed FaZe72c198$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.442100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa76…36d1backed FaZe72c198$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…be7dbacked FaZe72c198$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…2dfbbacked Astralis28c196$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bd…7dadbacked FaZe72c194$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47a8…3effbacked FaZe80c191$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe02a…2c0abacked FaZe80c186$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc696…d921backed Astralis28c183$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b25…3478backed FaZe73c181$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcda…f3adbacked FaZe72c179$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe269…6d69backed FaZe73c176$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d3…2c7abacked FaZe72c172$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked FaZe69c170$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.71,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…4b7dbacked Astralis27c170$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf83c…d2b6backed Astralis28c169$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de4…b3afbacked Astralis28c169$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47fa…44f2backed FaZe72c168$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941b…2fe8backed FaZe72c166$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7751…df41backed FaZe72c165$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbe…839bbacked Astralis28c161$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7715…654fbacked Astralis27c156$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x082f…c952backed FaZe73c150$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Astralis35c141.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8627735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8370…97fabacked FaZe73c141$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5439…e94bbacked FaZe72c138$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x844e…9ef3backed Astralis20c134$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…ad12backed Astralis28c134$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…9598backed Astralis28c133$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a45…e2bcbacked Astralis28c126$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe961…7c83backed Astralis28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d87…ac19backed Astralis28c121$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…fc14backed Astralis31c120$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a10…fc10backed Astralis28c112$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…aebebacked Astralis28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0f…0405backed Astralis20c110$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Astralis31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318535.3%30 W · 55 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9b…dd57backed Astralis28c97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dbf…2c8cbacked Astralis28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40e…11aebacked Astralis28c96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7099…9b86backed Astralis28c94$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb8…1338backed Astralis28c91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Astralis18c85.38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.512,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Astralis40c82.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3746…a99fbacked Astralis22c82.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.073834.2%13 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x753a…6d00backed Astralis28c78$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Astralis26c65.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.953718.9%7 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9217…1b00backed FaZe70c48$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fb6…90f3backed FaZe70c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c68…570cbacked FaZe80c38.25$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.653754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9252…6069backed FaZe70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.712669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ba…1349backed FaZe76c30.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.43281.3%26 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick76cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c9…cd22backed FaZe70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.