CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3166f5661994112e06d2016c18c1d3b54866765c4aff2d44edf541b3499b377
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof BC.Game Esports, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Voca | 57c | 7,176$4,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.98 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7857…bab6backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 5,079$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 2,946$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.9 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Voca | 56c | 2,245$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.68 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Voca | 56c | 2,074$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.52 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Voca | 56c | 2,054$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.58 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 1,690$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.47 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…62ffbacked BC.Game Esports | 44c | 1,576$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.33 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 1,430$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.03 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Voca | 38c | 1,395$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.25 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Voca | 58c | 1,392$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.67 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 1,300$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed BC.Game Esports | 42c | 1,030$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.64 | 205 | 54.1%111 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed BC.Game Esports | 62c | 792.92$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.48 | 193 | 51.8%100 W · 93 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Voca | 62c | 634.14$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Voca | 56c | 577.08$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked BC.Game Esports | 64c | 524.16$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.36 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Voca | 56c | 521.57$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.49 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Voca | 57c | 512.74$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.48 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed BC.Game Esports | 58c | 333.58$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed BC.Game Esports | 44c | 214.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Voca | 80c | 103.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d1…272fbacked BC.Game Esports | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…9694backed Voca | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed BC.Game Esports | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Voca | 50c | 99.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Voca | 55c | 88.89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked BC.Game Esports | 45c | 85.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 78.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Voca | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fff…3a96backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BC.Game Esports | 39c | 64.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Voca | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed BC.Game Esports | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9252…6069backed Voca | 61c | 44.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Voca | 55c | 43.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked BC.Game Esports | 44c | 35.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked BC.Game Esports | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Voca | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs Voca (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageBC.Game Esports won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 1 WinnerVoca won
- Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerBC.Game Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.