TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67bb…b6efbacked TheMongolz68c10,638$7,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,447.7476058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Wildcard36c5,517$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.1987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Wildcard38c4,767$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.951,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Wildcard31c3,821$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.821,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard33c3,142$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.92,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Wildcard42c3,017$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,267.8659839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Wildcard30c2,989$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.7288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard29c2,865$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.651,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed TheMongolz62c2,490$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.7733452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard33c2,269$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.327,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed TheMongolz57c2,000$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85020554.1%111 W · 94 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+65.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed TheMongolz62c1,929$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.749850%49 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Wildcard20c1,800$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36023243.5%101 W · 131 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed Wildcard31c1,799$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.075549.1%27 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed TheMongolz70c1,452$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.731,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked TheMongolz60c1,411$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.341,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Wildcard21c1,382$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.5536554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Wildcard41c1,357$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.61,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard43c1,323$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.6681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed TheMongolz80c1,264$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.8255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed TheMongolz67c1,123$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.6116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb8…c665backed Wildcard29c1,111$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.845358.5%31 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Wildcard47c1,040$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.9710753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked TheMongolz56c999.98$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9914144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked TheMongolz70c884.8$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.4278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked TheMongolz73c780.61$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9731451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed TheMongolz69c748.18$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.356732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Wildcard44c738.23$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.683852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked TheMongolz76c696.15$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.552334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed TheMongolz80c681.19$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2415373.2%112 W · 41 L+18.5wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Wildcard31c671.04$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.3611452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Wildcard35c669.8$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.131,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed TheMongolz59c661.29$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1337445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Wildcard24c659.2$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.212339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed TheMongolz80c616.97$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.397972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefee…d2b3backed TheMongolz74c606.94$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.122347.8%11 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick62cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e43…f53cbacked TheMongolz72c589.92$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.181566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29f9…2aa9backed TheMongolz76c581.5$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.561369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f35…ed78backed Wildcard24c580.76$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.463458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+54.8%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc42e…0fd9backed Wildcard23c569.43$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.12352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Wildcard18c537.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0641850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f19…7780backed TheMongolz73c500$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1354100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+54.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked TheMongolz70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15040950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed TheMongolz55c499.99$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22513743.8%60 W · 77 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd1…2812backed TheMongolz64c494.24$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fd8…2213backed TheMongolz78c493.4$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.551675%12 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5e0…ac15backed Wildcard21c483.74$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.732450%12 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Wildcard27c483.15$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.749941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed TheMongolz76c480.2$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.058947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed Wildcard16c479.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9222734.4%78 W · 149 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked TheMongolz80c437.89$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5164852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8bb…1c4bbacked TheMongolz80c429.41$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883658.3%21 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked TheMongolz79c410.04$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.348353%44 W · 39 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked TheMongolz57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17294645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed TheMongolz67c396.58$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.931654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0af…3b75backed TheMongolz60c375.62$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0518342.1%77 W · 106 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed TheMongolz67c365.05$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3839258.2%228 W · 164 L+18.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed TheMongolz75c354.81$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.816,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed TheMongolz52c349.95$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9855845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Wildcard34c326.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.911,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked TheMongolz68c326.14$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.559159.3%54 W · 37 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Wildcard44c312.41$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed TheMongolz66c296.65$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.734854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked TheMongolz70c288.94$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9735449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27c…79e0backed TheMongolz74c265.88$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9923161.5%142 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Wildcard24c263.6$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0254439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf2b…2cd8backed TheMongolz75c262.67$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.673262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard33c250$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.32,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a2…feedbacked TheMongolz61c250$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.512132.2%39 W · 82 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc311…c154backed TheMongolz67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.515752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wildcard23c245.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2452837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed TheMongolz60c243.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7814135.5%50 W · 91 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Wildcard7c236.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5769624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Wildcard18c228.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.054,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TheMongolz74c222$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.594,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed TheMongolz55c221.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.511855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…b6d7backed TheMongolz69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.27954.4%43 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wildcard42c219.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.643,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed TheMongolz67c219.45$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4250846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed Wildcard25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd265…aa15backed Wildcard31c193.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TheMongolz64c190.99$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked TheMongolz62c173.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.882,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked TheMongolz75c170.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9553859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard14c165.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.015,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacb2…63a4backed TheMongolz78c164.04$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.562157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…5305backed Wildcard12c155.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz68c155.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.832,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2f…2ae1backed TheMongolz59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed TheMongolz67c146.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.753850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked TheMongolz67c146.58$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5745162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wildcard20c144.36$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.315,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed TheMongolz72c141.54$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6327950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Wildcard10c133.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Wildcard30c131.27$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2944748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Wildcard40c131.03$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2128844.1%127 W · 161 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…f72bbacked TheMongolz76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1231950.5%161 W · 158 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Wildcard24c129.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.916935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked TheMongolz67c128.74$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4933457.8%193 W · 141 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b05…b133backed TheMongolz66c127.09$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2113748.9%67 W · 70 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.