TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,624

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,427 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Wildcard37c16,138$5,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.7715245.4%69 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard40c11,570$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,609.181843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz63c9,895$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.2414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz64c7,639$4,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.1125751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Wildcard36c7,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70067041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Wildcard35c6,489$2,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,270.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz60c4,998$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.1430340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Wildcard38c4,372$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.2284454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked TheMongolz63c4,361$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,623.4227740.8%113 W · 164 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz63c3,575$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.1238358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed TheMongolz63c3,504$2,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.6613850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard38c2,505$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.9878639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab2…a999backed TheMongolz62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7604461.4%27 W · 17 L+6.0wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed TheMongolz63c1,956$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.5726549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Wildcard38c1,838$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.3821048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc645…e8bbbacked TheMongolz62c1,357$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.662774.1%20 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed TheMongolz64c1,070$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.2513059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz61c1,052$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.3565650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed TheMongolz63c968.49$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3436742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x008b…c1cfbacked Wildcard37c824.41$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.96355.6%35 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3081…c666backed Wildcard38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044955.1%27 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz63c782.24$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.4338954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Wildcard17c778.69$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.820251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c19…6303backed TheMongolz63c672.88$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.973265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8be…444ebacked Wildcard36c600$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2162161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22831444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz62c542.76$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2515363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed TheMongolz63c427.34$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7818061.7%111 W · 69 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Wildcard38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15214454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed TheMongolz64c355.79$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7350340.2%202 W · 301 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed TheMongolz64c342.44$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2845465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3804…6d61backed TheMongolz63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.856426.6%17 W · 47 L-12.3wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed TheMongolz63c310.41$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8516546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked TheMongolz65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.4339157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Wildcard37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11160848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Wildcard37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11124134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz61c297.91$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3538157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz80c291.96$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3913044.6%58 W · 72 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed TheMongolz63c288.68$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8169635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab6a…3319backed Wildcard38c253.37$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.285858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked TheMongolz63c229.12$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7729052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz63c224.61$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8132561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Wildcard38c224.4$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2761154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed TheMongolz65c198.81$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5829558.6%173 W · 122 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz63c195.56$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Wildcard37c183.43$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8712426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.562,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8001…3da4backed TheMongolz61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+48.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x313d…6f98backed TheMongolz62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.830062.3%187 W · 113 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.225143.8%110 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz62c157.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6917053.5%91 W · 79 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0010…c3a8backed TheMongolz63c155.21$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4331673.7%233 W · 83 L+23.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+10.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1568…c958backed TheMongolz64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0427950.2%140 W · 139 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…56aebacked TheMongolz65c150.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.724156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed TheMongolz59c140.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5496545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f1c…c48bbacked TheMongolz64c129.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.785775.4%43 W · 14 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd07c…26fdbacked TheMongolz63c120.63$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.632236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed TheMongolz57c108.06$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4716935.5%60 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3488…54c2backed TheMongolz59c99.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4114856.1%83 W · 65 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked TheMongolz64c95.02$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2119047.9%91 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz62c94.98$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4229052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7244…b819backed TheMongolz63c93.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1914853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed TheMongolz64c82$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5232732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9cb…0134backed TheMongolz61c80.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6120145.8%92 W · 109 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Wildcard36c80.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.851,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd09c…6562backed TheMongolz63c78.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.941540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e2f…9123backed Wildcard41c77.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.785438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Wildcard42c75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a5e…8fd0backed TheMongolz63c69.84$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8422444.2%99 W · 125 L-16.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz59c68.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5281246.2%375 W · 437 L-35.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Wildcard45c58.46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3119653.1%104 W · 92 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…704cbacked TheMongolz62c55$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.91580%12 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed TheMongolz64c53.51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2631757.7%183 W · 134 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed TheMongolz77c53.36$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2736645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacd1…b918backed TheMongolz63c52.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.527448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed TheMongolz62c44.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c5…9feabacked Wildcard37c41.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…c619backed Wildcard59c41.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.397634.2%26 W · 50 L-8.8wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-26.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb24b…04ddbacked Wildcard41c40.87$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Wildcard37c38.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wildcard51c35.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3271951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d48…f5a2backed TheMongolz63c35.7$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.216959.4%41 W · 28 L+6.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Wildcard37c32.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2147260%283 W · 189 L+31.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed TheMongolz41c32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8841436.7%152 W · 262 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard39c31.51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.412,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed TheMongolz65c31.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.961866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb972…f81cbacked TheMongolz63c31.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.494163.4%26 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd77…6223backed TheMongolz65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5be2…8fa3backed TheMongolz63c30$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121762.7%136 W · 81 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed TheMongolz57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.923057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…c84bbacked TheMongolz63c29.71$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-68%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x091a…db09backed TheMongolz67c29.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Wildcard37c28.87$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6831532.4%102 W · 213 L-15.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked TheMongolz63c24.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz63c24.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0441848.8%204 W · 214 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed TheMongolz63c23.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6111650%58 W · 58 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bed…fd9cbacked TheMongolz65c22.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9120656.8%117 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…bd0bbacked TheMongolz55c21.23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.551942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…1e8bbacked TheMongolz63c19.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641c…ba0bbacked TheMongolz63c16.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.152630.8%8 W · 18 L-7.6wins-0.29per pick60cpaid-52.2%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.