CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd02d3c83ffa71438eb1d0828390837d3340aa8d45a613cd269ee6baa5b7d7513
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,624
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Wildcard | 37c | 16,138$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,961.77 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 40c | 11,570$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.1 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 9,895$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.24 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked TheMongolz | 64c | 7,639$4,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.11 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wildcard | 36c | 7,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Wildcard | 35c | 6,489$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed TheMongolz | 60c | 4,998$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.14 | 303 | 40.3%122 W · 181 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Wildcard | 38c | 4,372$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.22 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked TheMongolz | 63c | 4,361$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.42 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 3,575$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.12 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed TheMongolz | 63c | 3,504$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.66 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard | 38c | 2,505$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.98 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…a999backed TheMongolz | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed TheMongolz | 63c | 1,956$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.57 | 265 | 49.1%130 W · 135 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Wildcard | 38c | 1,838$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.38 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 1,357$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.66 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed TheMongolz | 64c | 1,070$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.25 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 1,052$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.35 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed TheMongolz | 63c | 968.49$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.34 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked Wildcard | 37c | 824.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Wildcard | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed TheMongolz | 63c | 782.24$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.43 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Wildcard | 17c | 778.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…6303backed TheMongolz | 63c | 672.88$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.97 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…444ebacked Wildcard | 36c | 600$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed TheMongolz | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 542.76$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.25 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed TheMongolz | 63c | 427.34$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Wildcard | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed TheMongolz | 64c | 355.79$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed TheMongolz | 64c | 342.44$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.28 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed TheMongolz | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -12.3wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed TheMongolz | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 301.23$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.43 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Wildcard | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Wildcard | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 241 | 34.4%83 W · 158 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 297.91$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.35 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz | 80c | 291.96$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TheMongolz | 63c | 288.68$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.81 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…3319backed Wildcard | 38c | 253.37$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 229.12$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 63c | 224.61$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Wildcard | 38c | 224.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed TheMongolz | 65c | 198.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wildcard | 37c | 183.43$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed TheMongolz | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed TheMongolz | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 157.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed TheMongolz | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed TheMongolz | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked TheMongolz | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed TheMongolz | 59c | 140.46$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1c…c48bbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 129.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 57 | 75.4%43 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd07c…26fdbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 120.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed TheMongolz | 57c | 108.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed TheMongolz | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 95.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed TheMongolz | 62c | 94.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed TheMongolz | 63c | 93.84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed TheMongolz | 64c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed TheMongolz | 61c | 80.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.61 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Wildcard | 36c | 80.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd09c…6562backed TheMongolz | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Wildcard | 41c | 77.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Wildcard | 42c | 75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed TheMongolz | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 68.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Wildcard | 45c | 58.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…704cbacked TheMongolz | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed TheMongolz | 64c | 53.51$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed TheMongolz | 77c | 53.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…b918backed TheMongolz | 63c | 52.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…3ea7backed TheMongolz | 62c | 44.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c5…9feabacked Wildcard | 37c | 41.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…c619backed Wildcard | 59c | 41.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb24b…04ddbacked Wildcard | 41c | 40.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Wildcard | 37c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Wildcard | 51c | 35.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed TheMongolz | 63c | 35.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Wildcard | 37c | 32.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed TheMongolz | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 39c | 31.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed TheMongolz | 65c | 31.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb972…f81cbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed TheMongolz | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed TheMongolz | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed TheMongolz | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…c84bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 29.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…db09backed TheMongolz | 67c | 29.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Wildcard | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked TheMongolz | 63c | 24.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed TheMongolz | 63c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…9ab8backed TheMongolz | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked TheMongolz | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…bd0bbacked TheMongolz | 55c | 21.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…1e8bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641c…ba0bbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 16.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -7.6wins | -0.29per pick | 60cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.