CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87499519d83062b2a607389b69d7a13f22fa75c447daff92e7476562c0ca7b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Wildcard | 18c | 15,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.99 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Wildcard | 0c | 11,459$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wildcard | 19c | 6,733$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.62 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Wildcard | 17c | 2,916$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wildcard | 17c | 2,608$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.36 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard | 18c | 2,516$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Wildcard | 8c | 2,327$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.07 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard | 3c | 1,997$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.68 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Wildcard | 10c | 1,989$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Wildcard | 9c | 1,950$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Wildcard | 7c | 1,920$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 18c | 1,701$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Wildcard | 9c | 1,666$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.98 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Wildcard | 10c | 1,637$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Wildcard | 2c | 1,615$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wildcard | 18c | 1,475$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Wildcard | 19c | 1,355$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.09 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wildcard | 11c | 1,033$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Wildcard | 19c | 1,028$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Wildcard | 15c | 928.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Wildcard | 9c | 899.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…212abacked Wildcard | 3c | 822.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Wildcard | 18c | 774.93$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Wildcard | 19c | 710.47$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Wildcard | 16c | 589.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Wildcard | 17c | 510.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Wildcard | 19c | 435.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Wildcard | 14c | 365.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wildcard | 6c | 351.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Wildcard | 8c | 237.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed TheMongolz | 79c | 212.14$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Wildcard | 9c | 205.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed TheMongolz | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…9e1bbacked Wildcard | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed TheMongolz | 79c | 199.89$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c64…2146backed Wildcard | 11c | 193.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wildcard | 6c | 184.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Wildcard | 12c | 170.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Wildcard | 10c | 164$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Wildcard | 20c | 157.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…95e9backed Wildcard | 16c | 146.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed TheMongolz | 80c | 145.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Wildcard | 8c | 140.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Wildcard | 12c | 116.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Wildcard | 13c | 105.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Wildcard | 18c | 102.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Wildcard | 14c | 98.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Wildcard | 15c | 98.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Wildcard | 12c | 97.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed TheMongolz | 80c | 92.87$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…ff60backed Wildcard | 19c | 89.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Wildcard | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.