CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x602ce0ee48220fd155c7f5ee6ce78923216c7bda677a759ff9e20cc0e74987e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,262
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 36c | 1,675$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 42c | 1,584$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.59 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 65c | 1,205$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.72 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 64c | 716.98$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.11 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 63c | 623.25$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 63c | 331.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.19 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…c6c1backed Under | 65c | 320.98$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Under | 74c | 265.55$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.66 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 39c | 253.54$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Under | 70c | 197.5$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 38c | 133.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 32c | 131.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Under | 65c | 127.96$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 112.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Over | 40c | 72.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…3294backed Under | 65c | 45.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Over | 40c | 41.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 38c | 28.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Under | 60c | 17.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.