CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b447959144ce9961bfb5280e15e53f10deb2a5a197eb6c5ca4cfe40150d2c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Wildcard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $520,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $668,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $520,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Wildcard | 14c | 95,015$12,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,951.46 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Wildcard | 12c | 34,444$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133.28 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Wildcard | 14c | 30,893$4,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,225 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Wildcard | 12c | 25,250$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,040.72 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Wildcard | 12c | 21,450$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.94 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Wildcard | 13c | 18,237$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Wildcard | 13c | 12,582$1,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Wildcard | 11c | 8,999$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.92 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Wildcard | 12c | 6,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1,408 | 33.7%475 W · 933 L | +43.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Wildcard | 13c | 4,929$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.63 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Wildcard | 14c | 4,436$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.47 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Wildcard | 12c | 4,242$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Wildcard | 11c | 4,063$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.61 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Wildcard | 12c | 3,340$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Wildcard | 19c | 2,815$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.44 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Wildcard | 12c | 2,785$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.22 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Wildcard | 11c | 2,638$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.48 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked Wildcard | 14c | 2,631$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.47 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Wildcard | 15c | 2,571$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Wildcard | 4c | 1,860$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…3bc8backed Wildcard | 16c | 1,704$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Wildcard | 11c | 1,588$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.73 | 391 | 45.8%179 W · 212 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Wildcard | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Wildcard | 5c | 1,296$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked Wildcard | 15c | 1,280$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.72 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Wildcard | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Wildcard | 16c | 1,156$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.88 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wildcard | 13c | 1,113$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.77 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a4…ab0ebacked Wildcard | 1c | 1,054$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Wildcard | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Wildcard | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Wildcard | 13c | 990.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.3 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Wildcard | 11c | 987.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.61 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Wildcard | 7c | 944.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…b30dbacked Wildcard | 12c | 894.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Wildcard | 6c | 849.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3081…c666backed Wildcard | 14c | 711.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.58 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Wildcard | 10c | 654.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Wildcard | 12c | 616.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.66 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93b…4208backed Wildcard | 11c | 613$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 243 | 39.5%96 W · 147 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Wildcard | 12c | 588.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.68 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…ce32backed Wildcard | 10c | 539.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Wildcard | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Wildcard | 13c | 499.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed Wildcard | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Wildcard | 4c | 499.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Wildcard | 13c | 485.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…a925backed Wildcard | 8c | 480.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Wildcard | 13c | 404.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f0…1d60backed Wildcard | 6c | 320.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Wildcard | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 1,069 | 37.8%404 W · 665 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Wildcard | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…d807backed Wildcard | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…fab0backed Wildcard | 5c | 282.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Wildcard | 13c | 277.04$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14a6…b1b6backed Wildcard | 5c | 260.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Wildcard | 13c | 244.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…08f4backed Wildcard | 13c | 224.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Wildcard | 17c | 222.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0d…5a51backed Wildcard | 18c | 212.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Wildcard | 14c | 210.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Wildcard | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Wildcard | 9c | 197.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Wildcard | 11c | 191.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Wildcard | 10c | 191.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…09aebacked Wildcard | 20c | 191.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Wildcard | 10c | 190.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 366 | 39.9%146 W · 220 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked Wildcard | 16c | 189.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Wildcard | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Wildcard | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked TheMongolz | 79c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Wildcard | 13c | 160.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wildcard | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…7ab1backed Wildcard | 10c | 151.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Wildcard | 17c | 146.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Wildcard | 13c | 145.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc011…bf70backed Wildcard | 19c | 144.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Wildcard | 13c | 142.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed Wildcard | 17c | 136.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 174 | 44.3%77 W · 97 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Wildcard | 12c | 135.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Wildcard | 13c | 133.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Wildcard | 15c | 127.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 510 | 55.9%285 W · 225 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…a0c8backed Wildcard | 13c | 127.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed Wildcard | 23c | 125.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Wildcard | 13c | 109.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Wildcard | 13c | 108.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x956d…b750backed Wildcard | 18c | 103.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed Wildcard | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Wildcard | 20c | 99.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Wildcard | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Wildcard | 12c | 94.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Wildcard | 17c | 84.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wildcard | 16c | 83.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,165 | 45.7%1,446 W · 1,719 L | -74.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wildcard | 14c | 83.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TheMongolz | 80c | 80.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Wildcard | 19c | 75.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Wildcard | 15c | 74.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Wildcard | 16c | 69.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fd…2aabbacked Wildcard | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)TheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.