MLB · resolved market
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa3f272b5d23ca58c9b4ad77f01e4ae087e99d664f23ce50f0e92216791e1bf0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 100,423$53,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,198.58 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…f66bbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 27,788$13,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,060.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 7,220$3,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,758.48 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.99 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 5,909$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 4,363$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.45 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 3,708$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.91 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…4a2cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 2,982$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.53 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 2,596$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.75 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 2,336$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.93 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 2,130$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 1,920$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.1 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…476cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 1,848$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.5 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,843$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.02 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 1,818$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.21 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,585$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.91 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,478$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.31 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 1,333$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 1,042$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 872.87$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.48 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c23…9d76backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 850$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 848.97$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.45 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 639.38$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.51 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f6…6d85backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 425$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 398.13$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.14 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 378$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 300$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…1d50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 268.52$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 246$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 238.73$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.87 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca9…37d8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 218.55$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.39 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f0…361dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 197.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.3 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 197.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.05 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 194.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 194.85$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.97 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf77…bae9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 152.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 151.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 147.13$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.12 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 144.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…28d6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 124.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 197 | 54.8%108 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…7d9ebacked Colorado Rockies | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 105.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed Colorado Rockies | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…bda1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 98.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…6b6bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…8622backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 91.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 83.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf463…4cc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 77.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…4fd0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 61c | 73.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 67.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Colorado Rockies | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d87…71cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 56.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 55.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 52.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 50.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Toronto Blue Jays | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.