MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde112eb76073292edaff28cfea6fbc3bbdf1d3bece1158e5d6438778043c5a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 56c | 52,105$29,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,997.13 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 44c | 23,770$10,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,393.07 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 45c | 14,301$6,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,431.62 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 11,962$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.33 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 11,459$5,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,614.91 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 10,178$5,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,987.22 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 44c | 9,821$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,321.3 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 9,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Under | 54c | 5,069$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,316.48 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 55c | 3,610$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.27 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…ed19backed Over | 0c | 3,148$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 46c | 2,880$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.85 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Over | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 1,904$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 1,454$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.91 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 47c | 1,347$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,271$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.26 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,200$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 44c | 1,187$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.47 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…98e9backed Over | 48c | 762.84$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 15c | 695.6$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 49c | 688.61$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.42 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 54c | 619.93$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.93 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 52c | 481.77$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408d…3efebacked Over | 49c | 452.82$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678f…74b7backed Over | 47c | 352.52$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.68 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 19c | 202.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 44c | 149.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 135$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…da5bbacked Over | 12c | 110.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Over | 39c | 107.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 46c | 102.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 52c | 92.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Under | 56c | 89.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 51c | 88.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 86.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.43 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 60c | 64.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Under | 53c | 63.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 60.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 52c | 60.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 46c | 56.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…2ae8backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 53c | 52.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 57cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 59c | 48.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 45.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…dbb1backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8c…880abacked Over | 49c | 40.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Under | 53c | 38.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 31.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 46c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e13…b909backed Under | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6fd9backed Over | 36c | 29.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…4518backed Over | 45c | 29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…1e6dbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 28.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 48c | 24.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 23.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 47c | 21.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue JaysToronto Blue Jays won
- NRFI: Colorado Rockies vs. Toronto Blue JaysYes won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.