TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-14.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$654,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,361 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 311 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons50c152,000$76,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,000.061,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers50c140,000$70,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,999.943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers49c113,809$55,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,488.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Pistons51c112,802$57,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,701.0660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers49c112,309$55,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,031.6587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Pistons53c42,997$22,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,234.6411457.9%66 W · 48 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons53c22,142$11,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,406.741,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Pistons51c19,608$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,607.8420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c4…a4f2backed Pistons52c14,545$7,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,046.812045%54 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons52c12,862$6,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,205.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked 76ers47c11,056$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.779,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked 76ers48c10,311$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0008838.6%34 W · 54 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pistons50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed 76ers50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked 76ers50c9,000$4,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,497.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Pistons51c7,843$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.141,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c7,701$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers48c5,980$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.62,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed 76ers48c5,793$2,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,780.4639842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked 76ers48c5,503$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,621.892,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons51c5,000$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,461.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x280a…fc28backed 76ers48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed 76ers50c4,570$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,28514245.8%65 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e24…bb52backed Pistons53c4,401$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,068.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c07…85cebacked Pistons52c3,858$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,851.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked 76ers50c3,853$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926.511443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2417…fc30backed Pistons53c3,811$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,791.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc38d…44e0backed 76ers48c3,780$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,814.430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb73d…beedbacked Pistons52c3,754$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,801.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadbf…bd3abacked 76ers48c3,672$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,762.5620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88be…5f4ebacked Pistons52c3,654$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6535…620ebacked 76ers48c3,644$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pistons52c3,615$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.3830446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons52c3,600$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.864,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f2…273dbacked Pistons52c3,528$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,693.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd2…f378backed 76ers48c3,480$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf8…dd6cbacked Pistons52c3,392$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1a…1698backed Pistons52c3,378$1,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf4f…6c8fbacked Pistons52c3,308$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,587.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec25…68d1backed 76ers48c3,244$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…fedcbacked Pistons52c3,244$1,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a0…9327backed Pistons53c3,212$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.644100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Pistons63c3,189$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.2620963.2%132 W · 77 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c34…c2cdbacked 76ers48c3,140$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons51c3,098$1,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba3…4282backed 76ers48c3,078$1,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd7…5badbacked Pistons52c3,048$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40c1…6fc2backed 76ers48c3,042$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91f5…cd2fbacked 76ers48c3,024$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.16728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 76ers50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50082442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked 76ers48c2,952$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,416.941,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d0…418dbacked 76ers48c2,914$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons51c2,815$1,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.3527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers49c2,757$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.5770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers47c2,700$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26944252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2631…bc28backed Pistons52c2,615$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3d…1acdbacked Pistons53c2,613$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed 76ers50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked 76ers40c2,499$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.476746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…76a2backed 76ers47c2,466$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea8…1502backed 76ers48c2,430$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f26…ef15backed Pistons52c2,420$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,161.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…9137backed 76ers48c2,418$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5175…66e2backed 76ers48c2,415$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d09…8f51backed Pistons52c2,404$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Pistons52c2,384$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.065364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c27…bd92backed 76ers48c2,355$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6b8…2f70backed 76ers48c2,355$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac1e…a26bbacked 76ers48c2,332$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71ce…b66cbacked 76ers47c2,323$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9628…90a1backed Pistons52c2,315$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf35c…9a81backed 76ers48c2,313$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda72…ad7abacked Pistons52c2,303$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd363…556ebacked 76ers48c2,215$1,063 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76a6…f47fbacked Pistons52c2,212$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5f2…3298backed 76ers48c2,202$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,057.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189f…29f7backed Pistons52c2,160$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c96…9b37backed Pistons52c2,144$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Pistons51c2,044$1,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.3748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15b7…9d74backed Pistons52c2,002$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pistons50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd6e…30b3backed Pistons52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Pistons51c1,962$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.947365.8%48 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e76…d4e7backed Pistons52c1,954$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8397…88a4backed Pistons52c1,814$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd73c…5d4ebacked 76ers48c1,745$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3161…bcefbacked Pistons52c1,711$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05b1…50e1backed 76ers47c1,702$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf372…e976backed 76ers47c1,665$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…cfddbacked 76ers48c1,662$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33d7…7421backed Pistons52c1,644$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6453…7e1dbacked 76ers47c1,644$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030f…cdc9backed 76ers48c1,606$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d6…26cfbacked 76ers47c1,515$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons71c1,514$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Pistons49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.0814448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e76…5dbabacked Pistons52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c7…6d19backed Pistons52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.