TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,339 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c12,085$6,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,029.381,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Under46c5,000$2,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.9111741.9%49 W · 68 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over53c4,925$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.899,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f37…f851backed Over53c4,438$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,085.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ea2…2882backed Under50c4,342$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96d3…ab05backed Under50c4,144$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…ef02backed Over53c4,001$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,880.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bac…4decbacked Under48c3,970$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…2529backed Over52c3,970$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e2…2ba4backed Under47c3,920$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c3,911$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.24,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…6e62backed Over53c3,795$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0062…05b7backed Over53c3,611$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x282d…360bbacked Under50c3,564$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…7fb6backed Under50c3,564$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32cd…7207backed Under51c3,524$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ee…d2d4backed Over53c3,455$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.73250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x444e…84cdbacked Over53c3,411$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e84…8a41backed Over49c3,310$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d8…f4f1backed Over53c3,224$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.281662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1bd…6680backed Over53c3,131$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b8…ab4fbacked Over53c3,115$1,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb653…3275backed Over49c3,110$1,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baf…6295backed Over53c3,001$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6173…5ee8backed Under47c2,713$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf601…175abacked Over53c2,616$1,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2cd…09f2backed Under47c2,395$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea66…edadbacked Over53c2,330$1,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.462100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e2c…5992backed Over53c2,319$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.93250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71b2…41afbacked Under47c2,313$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27fb…8a32backed Under47c2,298$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,080.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x392d…1832backed Over53c2,294$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da1…6872backed Over53c2,265$1,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.51250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7e…5fd6backed Under47c2,213$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…8053backed Under47c2,152$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda66…1244backed Under47c2,147$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e1…788fbacked Over53c2,117$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5d3…51aebacked Under47c2,110$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ebc…9b7ebacked Under47c2,109$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fea…4a08backed Under47c2,101$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.4720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa222…ad48backed Over53c2,077$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.192100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6d6…f864backed Under47c2,026$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6de…7491backed Under47c2,020$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b5…c69abacked Over53c1,974$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb9…62fbbacked Under47c1,973$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020d…b81fbacked Over53c1,889$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x471f…06f6backed Over53c1,858$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f3…62f2backed Under47c1,818$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb570…f9b9backed Under47c1,799$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.5320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1de7…4dd2backed Under47c1,772$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e15…af17backed Over53c1,769$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3c3…537bbacked Under47c1,765$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4250…0ddcbacked Under47c1,753$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over52c1,745$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.564,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf168…b40abacked Under47c1,743$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…bf56backed Under47c1,742$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1a…13b8backed Under47c1,742$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.7420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9bd…5c13backed Under47c1,717$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3812…966ebacked Under47c1,712$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee95…b346backed Over53c1,710$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4525…f10cbacked Over53c1,700$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03cb…9d6bbacked Under47c1,688$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0de8…8899backed Under47c1,636$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c0…7ad9backed Under47c1,635$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x090f…17b7backed Under47c1,629$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x227f…881fbacked Over53c1,602$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x749e…252ebacked Over53c1,595$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61e5…e9c3backed Over53c1,571$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d4…1d10backed Over53c1,557$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.792100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0a…7fcdbacked Over53c1,544$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b5…4324backed Over53c1,528$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc20…4032backed Under47c1,505$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19cb…21fcbacked Under47c1,460$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f93…7c6dbacked Under47c1,455$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5786…60f7backed Under47c1,384$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc5…807cbacked Over53c1,310$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3bd…1fe4backed Under47c1,303$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026a…1225backed Under47c1,204$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4088…8a2dbacked Under47c829$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.63560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under47c744.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35034854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9042…e10ebacked Under47c663$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1be…75dbbacked Under47c661$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under51c652.2$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c587.47$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x780d…5790backed Over53c555$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over59c533.89$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9715952.8%84 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a9…0564backed Under47c505.99$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under45c479$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.314634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.2454549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Under47c402.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18917349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over53c388.15$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.652,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Under48c292$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4623348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c258.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.18,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c247.97$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.383,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…6e16backed Under47c180$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under46c147.98$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2214046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537d…c189backed Under47c147$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.