NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3af5f1d4d0f693fea6cfc21eae34d8d828947cb9c9094fcb2e3b843313542996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $914,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,922 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers | 53c | 471,528$249,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249,909.94 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Pistons | 47c | 309,000$145,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163,682.07 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pistons | 47c | 194,342$90,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,716.58 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked 76ers | 52c | 55,062$28,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,616.24 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,600 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed 76ers | 53c | 40,000$21,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,198.28 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Pistons | 48c | 36,532$17,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,997.16 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Pistons | 47c | 34,767$16,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,444.02 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers | 26c | 29,975$7,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,768.24 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 76ers | 49c | 11,641$5,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,751.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pistons | 48c | 9,471$4,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,924.8 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pistons | 48c | 9,232$4,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.62 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked 76ers | 55c | 9,214$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,055.64 | 78 | 69.2%54 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons | 48c | 9,044$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,703.64 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Pistons | 49c | 9,000$4,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.08 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…ebf1backed 76ers | 52c | 8,900$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.23 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pistons | 48c | 8,334$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.34 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Pistons | 53c | 6,258$3,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.45 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 76ers | 52c | 6,162$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.91 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed 76ers | 54c | 6,104$3,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.82 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed 76ers | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed 76ers | 54c | 4,780$2,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,579.2 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 48c | 4,387$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.16 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pistons | 48c | 4,157$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,156.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pistons | 50c | 3,980$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.6 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed 76ers | 52c | 3,862$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons | 60c | 3,616$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,452 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 46c | 3,539$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.9 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Pistons | 47c | 3,533$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.07 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 76ers | 52c | 3,452$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.87 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pistons | 47c | 3,218$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.46 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed 76ers | 52c | 3,079$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons | 49c | 3,052$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,552.11 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked 76ers | 52c | 3,000$1,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,557.69 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed 76ers | 32c | 2,597$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 400 | 41.5%166 W · 234 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Pistons | 48c | 2,476$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.65 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked 76ers | 51c | 2,381$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…c6afbacked Pistons | 53c | 2,299$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.04 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 60c | 2,185$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.95 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Pistons | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Pistons | 47c | 2,110$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.98 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed 76ers | 55c | 2,065$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.28 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Pistons | 47c | 1,901$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.94 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed 76ers | 53c | 1,571$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Pistons | 47c | 1,545$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.43 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Pistons | 46c | 1,533$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.98 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked 76ers | 52c | 1,449$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.64 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed 76ers | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.96 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed 76ers | 51c | 1,348$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed 76ers | 52c | 1,344$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.83 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca32…47f0backed Pistons | 52c | 1,298$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.37 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed 76ers | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked 76ers | 48c | 1,200$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571 | 282 | 45.4%128 W · 154 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed 76ers | 42c | 1,082$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Pistons | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Pistons | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.05 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…e95cbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,035$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.53 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pistons | 46c | 1,010$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.4 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed 76ers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked 76ers | 52c | 992.72$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.87 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d1…c15ebacked Pistons | 47c | 980.22$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.65 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Pistons | 51c | 959$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.09 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Pistons | 47c | 950.69$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.96 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked 76ers | 51c | 918$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 146 | 34.9%51 W · 95 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked 76ers | 53c | 892.36$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.29 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked 76ers | 54c | 885.66$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.61 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Pistons | 59c | 842.49$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.49 | 161 | 62.7%101 W · 60 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…6302backed Pistons | 49c | 832.99$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.66 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 816$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed 76ers | 52c | 800$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.2 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…d58cbacked 76ers | 54c | 787.9$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Pistons | 47c | 786.98$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.18 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Pistons | 47c | 765.22$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pistons | 47c | 761.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.67 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Pistons | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons | 59c | 641.66$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.2 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…51adbacked Pistons | 48c | 627.53$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.34 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Pistons | 48c | 624.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.96 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 49c | 613.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed 76ers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked 76ers | 54c | 599.98$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.99 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked 76ers | 53c | 583.51$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Pistons | 47c | 531.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…cf12backed Pistons | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Pistons | 49c | 529.41$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.41 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed 76ers | 43c | 492.18$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.47 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…4610backed 76ers | 53c | 489.6$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed 76ers | 56c | 463.2$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.89 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked 76ers | 53c | 455.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed 76ers | 54c | 451.42$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.75 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Pistons | 49c | 448.37$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked 76ers | 46c | 431.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 52.6%142 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Pistons | 47c | 425.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.05 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pistons | 48c | 417.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Pistons | 47c | 417.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.97 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed 76ers | 53c | 391.19$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.05 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked 76ers | 44c | 386.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Pistons | 47c | 368.29$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.3 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers | 46c | 359.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.71 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed 76ers | 50c | 352.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Pistons won
- 76ers vs. PistonsPistons won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 239.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 241.5Under won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-16.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-18.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-19.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-22.5)76ers won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 19.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.