TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,267 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4beb…606bbacked Over55c4,313$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd442…bd6ebacked Over55c3,505$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.252100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+95.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a38…c6d9backed Over55c3,313$1,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec0…7221backed Over59c2,973$1,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71ce…b66cbacked Under45c2,525$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5dd…73c1backed Over55c2,515$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5d3…51aebacked Over55c2,414$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd8…a89dbacked Under45c2,323$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,045.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2903…76a2backed Under45c2,311$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.9520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71b2…41afbacked Under45c2,215$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb1…c3c7backed Under45c2,101$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4088…8a2dbacked Under45c2,072$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1de7…4dd2backed Over55c2,011$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6453…7e1dbacked Over55c2,010$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d6…26cfbacked Over55c1,979$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3bd…1fe4backed Over55c1,951$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.03250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x189f…29f7backed Over53c1,940$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+90.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c1,933$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6f3…62f2backed Under45c1,919$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ea8…1502backed Over53c1,890$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf168…b40abacked Under45c1,843$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40c1…6fc2backed Over52c1,840$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a969backed Under45c1,833$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdf…6be4backed Under45c1,828$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…8c68backed Under45c1,818$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b9…f498backed Under45c1,808$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab6…9137backed Over52c1,790$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.33250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf141…fa13backed Over55c1,788$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9228…3826backed Under45c1,727$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f93…7c6dbacked Over55c1,723$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b1…50e1backed Under45c1,636$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fd…d5e1backed Over55c1,616$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$727.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over51c1,587$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.789352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x346c…537ebacked Over53c1,480$784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,431$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f53…e2d8backed Over53c1,430$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under44c1,355$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.814,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c1,147$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under48c824.83$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40058450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under44c814.87$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.683,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c774.27$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.2746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over54c659.92$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.1223348.9%114 W · 119 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf372…e976backed Under45c648.99$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under11c536.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.823,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6eb…5402backed Over58c517.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.7311159.5%66 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3633150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d0…418dbacked Under47c460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e76…d4e7backed Under47c450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c441.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.531,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c07…85cebacked Under48c440$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec25…68d1backed Under48c430$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ba3…4282backed Under47c410$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd7…5badbacked Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecf8…dd6cbacked Under48c399.41$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f2…273dbacked Under48c390$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc38d…44e0backed Under47c390$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.330%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadbf…bd3abacked Under48c380$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb2e2…fedcbacked Under48c380$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88be…5f4ebacked Under48c370$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5620…1764backed Under47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6535…620ebacked Under47c360$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Under40c357.53$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.66746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88fb…9278backed Under43c352.58$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…1698backed Under47c350$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…2d7abacked Under47c350$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under42c340.17$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.5345646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd2…f378backed Under49c339.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91f5…cd2fbacked Under48c330$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8fa…e5febacked Under47c320$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4484…ce61backed Under47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b9…348fbacked Under47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f26…ef15backed Under47c310$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e24…bb52backed Under46c304$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf785…f3aabacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c34…c2cdbacked Under47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf4f…6c8fbacked Under48c290$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73d…beedbacked Under48c280$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c8e…4e21backed Under47c270$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c6…ca5dbacked Under47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57bf…9fe4backed Under48c247.3$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c28…0357backed Under47c210$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaad…aca7backed Under45c208$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f3d…1acdbacked Under45c203$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.35250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed Under49c200.59$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.292646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under37c174.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.7214634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under42c170$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2656547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe339…1ba6backed Under45c151$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4092…aa61backed Under46c149$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0adb…5364backed Under48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.08875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf601…175abacked Over55c144$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c141.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.852,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over58c140.86$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.093,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b8…ab4fbacked Under45c138$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under39c128.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.781,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a0…9327backed Over55c123$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.354100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x86e9…ef02backed Under45c116$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.