TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,499 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3c75…329abacked Over53c9,500$5,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,465.055750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under48c5,208$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5005341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Under5c4,988$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.421,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36c6…ca5dbacked Under52c4,346$2,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,267.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b73…d060backed Over50c4,266$2,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c28…0357backed Under53c4,228$2,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,226.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca67…fdeebacked Over50c4,055$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae10…2d7abacked Under53c3,876$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c3,848$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.621,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…c91abacked Over50c3,814$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9072100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf785…f3aabacked Under53c3,624$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x83ae…60f2backed Over50c3,616$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x116d…2151backed Over50c3,611$1,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8fa…e5febacked Over48c3,596$1,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8acf…025fbacked Over50c3,456$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x346c…537ebacked Over47c3,392$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45de…9579backed Over50c3,303$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686e…9521backed Over50c3,211$1,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x897d…eb54backed Over47c3,162$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…4e21backed Over48c3,134$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f53…e2d8backed Under52c3,082$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57bf…9fe4backed Over48c3,082$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5620…1764backed Over48c3,040$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b9…348fbacked Under52c3,040$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c2,958$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,429.869,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1820…6279backed Over50c2,900$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4484…ce61backed Over47c2,890$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under49c2,806$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.812,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over51c2,806$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.814,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ceb…d2f2backed Under50c2,805$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd943…2b36backed Under50c2,802$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5188…7e59backed Under50c2,800$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d7…5f21backed Under50c2,555$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under47c2,499$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.351,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5185…a867backed Over50c2,460$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e12…b566backed Under50c2,432$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93b…0914backed Under50c2,399$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e5…a095backed Under50c2,373$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x792b…8053backed Under50c2,366$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67ef…f330backed Over50c2,343$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d95…b2f0backed Under50c2,332$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fea…4a08backed Under50c2,303$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a61…caddbacked Over50c2,302$1,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1512100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac0…0267backed Under50c2,299$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa426…2e5dbacked Under50c2,288$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c9…4c1fbacked Over50c2,278$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x763f…bd97backed Under50c2,264$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,13220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x528b…d344backed Under50c2,252$1,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdc…f977backed Under50c2,249$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe893…62aebacked Over50c2,239$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x155b…0be9backed Over50c2,234$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…9343backed Under50c2,223$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1e…a26bbacked Under50c2,218$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5175…66e2backed Under50c2,215$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b8…2f70backed Under50c2,214$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd363…556ebacked Under50c2,201$1,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,100.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfc…7deabacked Over50c2,134$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98ff…e538backed Over50c2,133$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9628…90a1backed Under50c2,132$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.125030%15 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc459…a9ebbacked Over50c2,122$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0612100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06ab…d46ebacked Under50c2,121$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc94…9508backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ec1…9063backed Over50c2,120$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5880…cb7fbacked Under50c2,113$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6de…7491backed Over50c2,110$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299b…9af0backed Under50c2,101$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb05c…61f9backed Under50c2,089$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8947…0a19backed Under50c2,088$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b79…e43abacked Over50c2,077$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x922d…f1f2backed Under50c2,066$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5a…2f14backed Over50c2,063$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9436…ca26backed Over50c2,055$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2631…bc28backed Over50c2,052$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0262100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x159f…dbd0backed Under50c2,050$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b0a…bd8ebacked Over50c2,036$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d07…3d82backed Under50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ba…5873backed Over50c2,020$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f6…ddd5backed Under50c2,015$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…31b6backed Under50c2,014$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d09…8f51backed Under50c2,014$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9bf…b078backed Over50c2,006$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f2…3298backed Over50c2,003$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeebe…fafbbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc605…041bbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59c0…7ad9backed Under50c1,989$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c1,987$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.642,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99e2…a6b5backed Under50c1,936$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf03f…b4ffbacked Over50c1,925$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7af…ec72backed Under50c1,923$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8daf…326cbacked Under50c1,917$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb503…6cb1backed Over50c1,916$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x816d…15d7backed Over50c1,908$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c96…9b37backed Under50c1,901$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f3…61a6backed Over50c1,899$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa499…1f33backed Under50c1,887$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03cb…9d6bbacked Over50c1,878$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa200…a3d2backed Over50c1,877$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d1…5a29backed Over50c1,872$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.