TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,607 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c5,245$2,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5634,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.9816633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4780…8be4backed Under53c4,401$2,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,332.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under50c4,374$2,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.25341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under16c4,036$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under45c4,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccc…542ebacked Under53c3,727$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c3,543$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bda…b222backed Under52c3,086$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf0…c495backed Under52c3,072$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x939c…c8ffbacked Under53c3,066$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d3…af15backed Under53c3,010$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fdc…954cbacked Over48c2,995$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c05…f99fbacked Over48c2,982$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over51c2,978$1,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.221,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0a…9c27backed Under52c2,902$1,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54d…eb71backed Over48c2,873$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dc9…dc9cbacked Under52c2,765$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6064…26fdbacked Under52c2,744$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6536…8224backed Over48c2,644$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e0…245cbacked Over48c2,636$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd29…a74abacked Under53c2,634$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.082245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd42b…be98backed Over48c2,628$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd98d…a693backed Under53c2,606$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfadf…31b6backed Under53c2,587$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f98…aa2bbacked Under52c2,554$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,328.08250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2d…f97fbacked Under52c2,537$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf867…9c17backed Under53c2,479$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd8…a89dbacked Under52c2,466$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfb2…490ebacked Over47c2,456$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5880…cb7fbacked Under53c2,455$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f06…ab87backed Over47c2,366$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdc…f977backed Over47c2,356$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7e5…a095backed Over48c2,355$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7703…bb08backed Over48c2,341$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac0…0267backed Over47c2,315$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06ab…d46ebacked Over47c2,313$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5185…a867backed Under53c2,302$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,220.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e12…b566backed Under53c2,288$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x155b…0be9backed Over47c2,266$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…9343backed Over48c2,257$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528b…d344backed Over47c2,214$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…f330backed Under52c2,202$1,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,145.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…9fadbacked Over48c2,185$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bfc…7deabacked Over47c2,166$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,147.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc94…9508backed Over47c2,155$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9228…3826backed Under52c2,149$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1937…5372backed Under52c2,148$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc459…a9ebbacked Over48c2,123$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b41…1c2ebacked Under53c2,121$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.1320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x763f…bd97backed Under53c2,102$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299b…9af0backed Over48c2,102$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b79…e43abacked Over47c2,056$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.682100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6c9…4c1fbacked Under52c2,036$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,058.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a61…caddbacked Over47c2,033$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe893…62aebacked Over47c2,030$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8daf…326cbacked Over47c2,022$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d07…3d82backed Over47c2,020$949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb1…c3c7backed Over48c2,005$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ff…e538backed Under53c2,002$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.06250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd315…762bbacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0602100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3d1…5a29backed Over47c1,966$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf03f…b4ffbacked Over48c1,966$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.322100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa499…1f33backed Over47c1,966$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ba…5873backed Over47c1,959$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Under46c1,951$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.398429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99cf…a969backed Over48c1,944$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa426…2e5dbacked Over47c1,935$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b9…f498backed Under52c1,909$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f6…ddd5backed Over47c1,894$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa531…75babacked Over47c1,888$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.642100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Under48c1,868$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90011443.9%50 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9bf…b078backed Under53c1,855$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f7…8c68backed Over48c1,828$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabdf…6be4backed Over48c1,825$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3df…a711backed Over47c1,822$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa687…73b8backed Under53c1,766$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa452…9c2ebacked Under52c1,765$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x649a…a704backed Over47c1,755$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x816d…15d7backed Under53c1,752$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5b…cc89backed Under53c1,721$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80aa…7795backed Over47c1,701$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba5d…c44fbacked Over47c1,699$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd401…4d78backed Under52c1,656$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.1764651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over54c1,617$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.2334851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc5…443ebacked Under53c1,602$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f3…61a6backed Over47c1,555$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1597…3712backed Under53c1,555$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.1520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9b…d2c2backed Over48c1,539$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0dc…f68dbacked Under52c1,525$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd461…5a59backed Over47c1,525$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under48c1,480$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.3921653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Under48c1,450$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.8818536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6cb3…c140backed Under53c1,422$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da7…c739backed Over48c1,421$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc3f…0650backed Under52c1,399$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cc…6fecbacked Under52c1,341$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a4a…41cbbacked Under52c1,338$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3932…5699backed Under53c1,255$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.