TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

FC Dallas vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,487 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under43c26,589$11,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,433.0815647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over57c17,995$10,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,737.932871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over57c9,129$5,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,925.4212451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over57c7,313$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,145.525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over57c4,896$2,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.393,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under43c4,186$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Under43c3,500$1,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5055054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over57c2,632$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.581233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Under43c1,231$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.33757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.73633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under42c1,033$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.7877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over57c790.43$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.8997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under43c744.7$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.22633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over57c600$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2586155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2154456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under43c500$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under43c400$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Over58c344.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Under43c240$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.230%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over58c210.4$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.378251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.91758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under43c178$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.542236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over57c175.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.393234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.21070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over59c156.75$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under42c149.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.996256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under43c143.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1620154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over58c130.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.63580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+47.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3110562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa283…18dcbacked Under43c125.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under43c125$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under43c115$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under42c113.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.721172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4313243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under43c97.67$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…3bafbacked Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under42c78.79$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0955750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Under43c69.77$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304148.8%20 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Under44c68.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c65.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under43c62.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.965839.7%23 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over57c61.21$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.277150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+77%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Over58c56.29$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+68.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over67c52.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over57c49.26$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.188652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over57c46.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9813950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Over57c45.95$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under44c43.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.8wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under43c41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.638836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over58c39.85$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under43c35.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.43151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd74…047abacked Over58c35.57$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0914…e49fbacked Over58c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a8…800dbacked Under43c34.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Over57c31.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.464447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Under43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.95653.6%30 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…e845backed Over58c29.86$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1477…29b6backed Under43c29.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5026…41a8backed Under43c26.63$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Over58c26.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.754755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.755058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.755261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.755354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.323253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over56c23.14$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.188845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over49c21$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7110957.8%63 W · 46 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabcc…b1fcbacked Over58c17.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.