TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgetown Hoyasof Georgetown Hoyas, Villanova Wildcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,400

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,400 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4f5…1079backed Georgetown Hoyas67c13,080$8,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,327.556752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas37c5,969$2,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.725,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Villanova Wildcats76c5,536$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,192.051,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Villanova Wildcats30c4,303$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.126945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Georgetown Hoyas25c3,855$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.022,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Villanova Wildcats54c3,264$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.482,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Villanova Wildcats75c3,068$2,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,300.81,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Georgetown Hoyas43c2,936$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.122,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Villanova Wildcats74c2,933$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170.3839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats55c2,559$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.7812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Georgetown Hoyas27c2,306$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,683.831,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Georgetown Hoyas26c2,294$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.7955532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Georgetown Hoyas22c1,714$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.014,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Villanova Wildcats55c1,419$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.5318954.5%103 W · 86 L+0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Villanova Wildcats72c1,373$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.1657248.1%275 W · 297 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Villanova Wildcats58c1,340$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.8649345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Villanova Wildcats62c1,295$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.28771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+37.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Villanova Wildcats67c1,286$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.053,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Georgetown Hoyas57c1,153$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.183,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Villanova Wildcats38c1,058$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.844,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Georgetown Hoyas24c1,035$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.98560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa89a…8667backed Georgetown Hoyas24c894.25$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.63475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Villanova Wildcats57c871.57$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.191,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…76a4backed Villanova Wildcats47c842.94$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.51944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Villanova Wildcats65c794.83$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.3625254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Villanova Wildcats58c701.94$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.115,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Villanova Wildcats73c685.24$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.1237142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Georgetown Hoyas27c672.83$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.23638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Villanova Wildcats57c608.77$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3479639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Georgetown Hoyas27c587.92$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.9429337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Villanova Wildcats6c561.04$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9212245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Villanova Wildcats74c496.63$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.397871.8%56 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Villanova Wildcats45c405.32$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.8943450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Georgetown Hoyas42c355.69$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9710638.7%41 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Villanova Wildcats58c353.67$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1331646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Villanova Wildcats57c347.87$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2815055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Georgetown Hoyas38c342.1$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.291,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Georgetown Hoyas39c330.4$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.4825544.3%113 W · 142 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Georgetown Hoyas54c329.59$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9225337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Georgetown Hoyas41c312.87$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18493447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Georgetown Hoyas29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2131,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Georgetown Hoyas27c280.06$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.5325837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Georgetown Hoyas38c260.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.816630.3%20 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Georgetown Hoyas46c250.36$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.669448.9%46 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Georgetown Hoyas26c231.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.771,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Georgetown Hoyas45c227.46$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0225829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Georgetown Hoyas44c177.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1215243.4%66 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Georgetown Hoyas46c166.17$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Georgetown Hoyas50c159.62$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Villanova Wildcats33c156.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1871655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Georgetown Hoyas25c155.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.776347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Georgetown Hoyas27c150$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.524432%78 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Georgetown Hoyas43c133.9$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3277142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed Villanova Wildcats59c124.39$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.943033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Georgetown Hoyas24c124.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+195.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Georgetown Hoyas28c119.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.915354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Villanova Wildcats73c112.01$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7131448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Georgetown Hoyas41c107.23$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4824951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Villanova Wildcats75c101.31$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.999470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Villanova Wildcats77c100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779866.3%65 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Georgetown Hoyas17c99.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.593748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed Georgetown Hoyas17c99.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.596030%18 W · 42 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Villanova Wildcats80c99.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.579264.1%59 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cdb…9d70backed Villanova Wildcats76c99.36$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.511926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Georgetown Hoyas28c99.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.492,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62a…099abacked Villanova Wildcats48c95.38$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.611758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x287c…81b2backed Georgetown Hoyas32c84.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.294231%13 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…4638backed Villanova Wildcats65c81.38$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.95152.9%27 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Georgetown Hoyas27c80$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.412649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Villanova Wildcats60c69.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.742365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Villanova Wildcats61c64.81$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.335338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Villanova Wildcats55c60.92$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5119057.4%109 W · 81 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Georgetown Hoyas33c56.32$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6193247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Georgetown Hoyas30c56.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.521,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Villanova Wildcats57c55.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.372360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1970…e980backed Georgetown Hoyas32c52.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.974753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Villanova Wildcats58c51.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7421152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Villanova Wildcats37c48.8$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Villanova Wildcats74c48.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.770349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Georgetown Hoyas25c41.53$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1418230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cec…7c61backed Villanova Wildcats74c40.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.88446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Villanova Wildcats72c39.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3733445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Georgetown Hoyas27c37.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Georgetown Hoyas44c33.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9329954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc73b…c3e9backed Villanova Wildcats59c29.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8583…e3e3backed Georgetown Hoyas39c28.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.563435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-30.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Villanova Wildcats57c26.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.877856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…6ccabacked Villanova Wildcats48c25.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.14443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Villanova Wildcats56c25.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.015248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabb…8cc4backed Villanova Wildcats56c24.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Villanova Wildcats58c23.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.418548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Villanova Wildcats56c20.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.237748.1%37 W · 40 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Villanova Wildcats73c19.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5711552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Villanova Wildcats57c18.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.419153.8%49 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Georgetown Hoyas68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59554.7%52 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Georgetown Hoyas68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510553.3%56 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Georgetown Hoyas68c15.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57553.3%40 W · 35 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.