Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3efdab0ad3c8334b9a093e2bb13f5335a1406e894196e5ff797c35259b6e3ff4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetown Hoyasof Villanova Wildcats, Georgetown Hoyas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,367 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 4,764$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 1,883$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.39 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 1,587$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.79 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 845$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.15 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 829.69$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.25 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgetown Hoyas | 59c | 464.66$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e92…f5f7backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 421.82$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Villanova Wildcats | 43c | 400$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 357.48$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Georgetown Hoyas | 55c | 316.27$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 244.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 206.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 195.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 187.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 55c | 178.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 151.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 149.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 138.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 111.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 111.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 110.03$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 61c | 105.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 66c | 100.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Villanova Wildcats | 45c | 99.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Villanova Wildcats | 48c | 94.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 88.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 71.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 56c | 60.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Georgetown Hoyas | 59c | 57.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Villanova Wildcats | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Villanova Wildcats | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Villanova Wildcats | 46c | 37.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Georgetown Hoyas | 51c | 35.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed Georgetown Hoyas | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Villanova Wildcats | 47c | 28.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Georgetown Hoyas | 53c | 25.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Georgetown Hoyas | 78c | 19.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-7.5)this page
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova WildcatsGeorgetown Hoyas won
- Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-6.5)Georgetown Hoyas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.