TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc62a…099a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+521.1%+$104.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$14.04
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$87.65
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$9.6
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$98.4
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$13.47
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$57.11
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$39.91
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$16.04
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2560%15 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Tabatha Ricci vs. Fatima Kline (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Tabatha Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Gabriel Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.3
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Youssef Zalal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.02
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Alexander Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.24
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Adrian Luna Martinetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.35
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Montel Jackson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Mike Malott · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Azamat Murzakanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Dominick Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$17.73
UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Guilherme Pat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Stewart Nicoll (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Alessandro Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$5.5
UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Darrius Flowers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.67
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Alexa Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+160.3%+$168.33
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Luke Riley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sam Patterson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$36.72
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+66.7%+$22
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+111.6%+$22.33
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+195.8%+$117.46
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$49.57
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+125.2%+$48.42
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.29
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42%+$22.94
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.73
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$149.13
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$74.43
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.64
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.37
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.68
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.7
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.46
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$28.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.