UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x652f865b2d0f421e38025dc8b09e57e049b2cf00b85d3f0cbdc8bc17b285b134
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darrius Flowersof Lando Vannata, Darrius Flowers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Lando Vannata | 41c | 12,559$5,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.32 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Darrius Flowers | 80c | 8,780$6,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Darrius Flowers | 56c | 8,735$4,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.83 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Lando Vannata | 24c | 3,133$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.14 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Darrius Flowers | 32c | 2,065$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.31 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Darrius Flowers | 13c | 1,995$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.95 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Lando Vannata | 73c | 1,895$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.71 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Lando Vannata | 36c | 1,642$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.15 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Darrius Flowers | 37c | 1,546$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.29 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 1,403$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.15 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 1,378$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.02 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Darrius Flowers | 33c | 1,343$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.69 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lando Vannata | 67c | 1,152$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.53 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…1080backed Lando Vannata | 25c | 1,119$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.23 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 959.88$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.32 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Lando Vannata | 67c | 945.58$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.13 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed Darrius Flowers | 31c | 915.99$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Darrius Flowers | 54c | 882.16$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.08 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Darrius Flowers | 32c | 862.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.58 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Darrius Flowers | 33c | 799.09$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.39 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Darrius Flowers | 77c | 772.21$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.54 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Darrius Flowers | 31c | 766.86$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.13 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lando Vannata | 20c | 737.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Lando Vannata | 27c | 711.12$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Darrius Flowers | 73c | 662.74$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.94 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lando Vannata | 59c | 656.94$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Darrius Flowers | 32c | 613$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 608.68$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.74 | 155 | 56.8%88 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Darrius Flowers | 33c | 585.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.83 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1abf…6024backed Lando Vannata | 67c | 576.36$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.16 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 524.08$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.14 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Darrius Flowers | 76c | 520.72$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Lando Vannata | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Darrius Flowers | 39c | 498.5$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.62 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Darrius Flowers | 66c | 494.29$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Lando Vannata | 25c | 449.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Darrius Flowers | 33c | 439.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…3c62backed Lando Vannata | 12c | 434.2$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 106 | 60.4%64 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Lando Vannata | 70c | 421.26$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.88 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lando Vannata | 47c | 419$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.53 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Darrius Flowers | 48c | 412.74$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Lando Vannata | 68c | 411.07$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.53 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Lando Vannata | 25c | 382.6$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Darrius Flowers | 30c | 366.29$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Lando Vannata | 69c | 365.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.35 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Darrius Flowers | 70c | 350.57$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.21 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Lando Vannata | 28c | 342.35$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Darrius Flowers | 34c | 328.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.78 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 328.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Lando Vannata | 65c | 321.4$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Darrius Flowers | 31c | 314.52$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.02 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Darrius Flowers | 30c | 296.7$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.61 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 295.68$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.06 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Lando Vannata | 69c | 294.42$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Darrius Flowers | 31c | 287.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.43 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Lando Vannata | 68c | 286.32$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Lando Vannata | 8c | 263.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Darrius Flowers | 75c | 255.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Lando Vannata | 66c | 243.57$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Lando Vannata | 36c | 236.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Darrius Flowers | 37c | 214.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…6bf7backed Darrius Flowers | 13c | 212.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.19 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +9.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11bf…770dbacked Lando Vannata | 70c | 211.58$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.26 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Darrius Flowers | 75c | 210.61$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Lando Vannata | 67c | 196.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lando Vannata | 53c | 195.62$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…1afebacked Lando Vannata | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8035…f36dbacked Lando Vannata | 16c | 187.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Darrius Flowers | 46c | 182.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.82 | 175 | 24%42 W · 133 L | -22.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lando Vannata | 72c | 177.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…f852backed Darrius Flowers | 37c | 169.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 168.09$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Darrius Flowers | 34c | 166.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.75 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Lando Vannata | 66c | 160.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3545…31e2backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 156.88$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a60…bdbbbacked Darrius Flowers | 28c | 152.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +64%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Lando Vannata | 47c | 150.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Lando Vannata | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…4ce6backed Darrius Flowers | 32c | 149.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Darrius Flowers | 80c | 148.2$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7371…cadebacked Lando Vannata | 68c | 147.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a68…98aebacked Lando Vannata | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 265 | 69.4%184 W · 81 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…a9b1backed Lando Vannata | 36c | 145.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 144.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Lando Vannata | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Darrius Flowers | 32c | 133.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…d744backed Darrius Flowers | 31c | 130$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Darrius Flowers | 63c | 129.49$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Darrius Flowers | 37c | 126.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.27 | 178 | 41.6%74 W · 104 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Darrius Flowers | 34c | 122.45$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Darrius Flowers | 34c | 113.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98dc…e3f0backed Darrius Flowers | 12c | 108.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…bc4bbacked Lando Vannata | 38c | 102.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Lando Vannata | 67c | 102.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…c648backed Lando Vannata | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Darrius Flowers | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 22cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…029bbacked Darrius Flowers | 33c | 99.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…f403backed Darrius Flowers | 32c | 99.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd124…2cefbacked Darrius Flowers | 32c | 96.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Darrius Flowers | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.