Weather · resolved market

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8376f83fa2b2d74fb0ea861810df724c6b00356e69c0980df235b4e490e44b9

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,686

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,647 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Weather
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd488…f8f9backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…957bbacked No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7439…ecc9backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b16…d6f0backed No	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf787…1b63backed Yes	58c	1,023$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.54	432	38%164 W · 268 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa37d…b2b4backed Yes	46c	1,004$462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.32	321	57.3%184 W · 137 L	+17.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa178…2112backed Yes	56c	755.77$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.06	101	84.2%85 W · 16 L	+26.9wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+70.6%equal weight	74+0.21 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No	14c	671.43$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.64	640	21.7%139 W · 501 L	-23.6wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd831…cc54backed No	3c	635.47$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	6c	625$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	621	9.8%61 W · 560 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6810…c641backed Yes	47c	454.83$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.39	38	36.8%14 W · 24 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes	40c	343.79$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.55	739	27.3%202 W · 537 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…2fadbacked No	69c	317.19$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.4	120	68.3%82 W · 38 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked No	8c	304.08$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.31	346	18.8%65 W · 281 L	+15.2wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No	60c	295.75$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.21	860	50.9%438 W · 422 L	+29.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b40…96e3backed No	10c	280$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.16	522	45%235 W · 287 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	49c	264.01$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.39	6,787	39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L	+256.4wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes	30c	253.1$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.24	1,298	33.1%430 W · 868 L	+39.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f12…7057backed No	64c	235.61$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.69	192	59.9%115 W · 77 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae07…8059backed Yes	32c	200$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.75	435	25.3%110 W · 325 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf40…38b8backed No	69c	199.57$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.73	583	49.4%288 W · 295 L	+13.4wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e7…10c0backed Yes	29c	196.76$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$139	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4add…6fe5backed Yes	41c	196.04$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.31	1,452	36.8%534 W · 918 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No	68c	181.69$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.03	1,842	63.5%1,170 W · 672 L	-42.5wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27cd…c7adbacked Yes	56c	178.74$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.74	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-5.4wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	9c	174.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.39	7,148	9.3%666 W · 6,482 L	-1,105.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-75.9%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2702…06bebacked Yes	36c	165.92$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.51	93	28%26 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+49.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f21…b376backed Yes	30c	155.08$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.12	17,355	19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L	+396.7wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	56c	153.21$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.4	1,605	42.9%689 W · 916 L	-86.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc020…d2b4backed No	69c	150.36$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…652abacked Yes	33c	150$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e1…a2bfbacked Yes	60c	150$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	61cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba5…fc9bbacked No	67c	149.96$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.98	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e2a…debfbacked Yes	34c	146.97$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.08	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed No	24c	137.66$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.34	2,001	38.4%768 W · 1,233 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	63c	131.52$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.4	9,490	45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L	-278.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f55…4213backed No	60c	131$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.02	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x710d…02aabacked Yes	66c	130$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.85	340	67.4%229 W · 111 L	+24.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x77f0…2b1fbacked No	68c	121.9$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.57	3,028	49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L	+16.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	34c	120.11$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.57	287	37.6%108 W · 179 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc9f…b4e1backed No	9c	118.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb5…3ae0backed Yes	52c	115.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.07	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc941…a0e8backed Yes	27c	113.69$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.05	208	38%79 W · 129 L	+9.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc34f…7d2ebacked No	40c	109.44$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.52	12,173	46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L	-42.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0f…18b4backed Yes	34c	107.89$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.21	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	49cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4fdd…ea7fbacked No	70c	107.14$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.19per pick	58cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd80a…c714backed Yes	34c	106.92$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.88	1,977	18.8%371 W · 1,606 L	+8.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8596…34c2backed No	56c	106$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.36	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31dc…ce99backed Yes	36c	102.68$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.36	104	27.9%29 W · 75 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	35c	100$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65	1,322	32.2%426 W · 896 L	-43.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes	29c	100$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71	1,312	45%590 W · 722 L	+33.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked Yes	33c	100$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7dc…0af0backed Yes	34c	99.99$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.99	66	43.9%29 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Yes	24c	96.23$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.14	1,204	25.3%305 W · 899 L	+18.2wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes	35c	93.83$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.29	3,939	35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L	+35.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1f…493cbacked No	71c	91.72$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.12	38	76.3%29 W · 9 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x044f…d1f1backed No	62c	91.25$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.37	8,162	49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L	+269.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb6…337fbacked Yes	37c	90$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.1	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d33…6be3backed Yes	48c	89.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	142	36.6%52 W · 90 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No	55c	89.16$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.12	4,120	60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfedf…ee2abacked Yes	40c	88.54$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.52	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…f315backed Yes	29c	85.94$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.91	139	30.2%42 W · 97 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f0c…1fb7backed Yes	36c	83.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.33	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc85e…5d37backed Yes	37c	81.4$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.4	146	32.9%48 W · 98 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c6b…c053backed Yes	53c	81.37$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.6	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc921…d6f3backed No	65c	81$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.42	153	39.9%61 W · 92 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes	31c	80.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.99	214	40.2%86 W · 128 L	+12.6wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	34c	79.9$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.64	2,262	39.6%895 W · 1,367 L	-56.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc472…b96cbacked No	55c	78.97$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.24	59	28.8%17 W · 42 L	-12.2wins	-0.21per pick	49cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7ce1…c33abacked No	64c	77.72$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.74	149	61.1%91 W · 58 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked No	14c	75.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.92	999	62.8%627 W · 372 L	+37.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Yes	28c	75$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.2	499	41.7%208 W · 291 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	27c	70.49$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.5	7,481	37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L	+97.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3681…4e48backed No	71c	70.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,375	56%770 W · 605 L	+25.7wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ef…8b9cbacked Yes	49c	70$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.7	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15c…6549backed Yes	36c	69.93$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.93	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3837…c507backed Yes	36c	69.36$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.05	104	44.2%46 W · 58 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…b8e3backed Yes	51c	69.03$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	142	51.4%73 W · 69 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8827…5d62backed No	65c	65.85$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.54	1,772	50.5%895 W · 877 L	+43.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	66c	65.68$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.22	5,897	49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L	-103.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes	31c	64.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.53	332	43.1%143 W · 189 L	+7.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes	31c	64.38$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.64	591	25.9%153 W · 438 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcaec…2694backed Yes	32c	63.71$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.03	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No	66c	63.53$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.66	3,175	62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L	+12.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec8a…94b3backed Yes	48c	63.13$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.82	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes	41c	62.13$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.73	4,525	26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L	+62.2wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb19…0227backed Yes	65c	61.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.47	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x951c…d8c7backed Yes	37c	60.84$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.39	683	35.4%242 W · 441 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa26f…1071backed Yes	48c	60.28$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.54	376	44.9%169 W · 207 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes	34c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.6	58	41.4%24 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1361…f12bbacked Yes	35c	60$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39	1,924	33.8%651 W · 1,273 L	+29.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes	34c	58.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.54	319	43.3%138 W · 181 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	36c	58.35$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.1	1,840	37%681 W · 1,159 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…55e1backed No	63c	57.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.28	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…f49abacked No	63c	54.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd36…a832backed Yes	36c	54.92$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.92	650	43.4%282 W · 368 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed No	48c	54.04$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.68	12,498	19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L	-2,667.3wins	-0.21per pick	41cpaid	-66.8%equal weight	26-0.21 edge/pick
0xba1c…05cfbacked Yes	37c	53.63$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.63	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40eb…ade9backed Yes	41c	52$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.59	495	47.1%233 W · 262 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	667	35.4%236 W · 431 L	+14.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?this page
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 47°F or below on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 66°F or higher on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on March 29?No won
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on March 29?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on March 29?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event