TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0ba5…fc9b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2528%7 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$55.66
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+300%+$150
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will France vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.5
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+158.6%+$184
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.96
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.19
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+390.6%+$477.63
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.83
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-59.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked KOLESIE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.39
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stagebacked Ursa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stagebacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$145
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-64%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+87.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick61cpaid+77.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+115.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.52
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$66.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will between 6000-6500 US flights be delayed on March 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 35% and 40%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.