Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd835216e3360b3fe9eb6218b05f7d2c2052a8d2c4193a17e49639892a0b38560
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $319,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $257,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 9c | 15,249$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.7 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 14,019$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.47 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…2daebacked Yes | 2c | 12,085$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 103 | 27.2%28 W · 75 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 15c | 11,268$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.95 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 16c | 8,735$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.55 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5695…1247backed Yes | 0c | 7,793$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…356cbacked Yes | 5c | 6,680$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…798dbacked No | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 166 | 38.6%64 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 7c | 5,770$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.14 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…efb9backed Yes | 6c | 5,724$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4a…ae50backed Yes | 20c | 5,290$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed No | 80c | 5,226$4,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.14 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0db5…f3aabacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…2b5bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,753$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 8c | 4,500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 19c | 4,400$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.29 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 5c | 4,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…a84fbacked Yes | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb49d…400fbacked Yes | 8c | 3,783$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +250.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3869…cf02backed Yes | 16c | 3,131$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Yes | 20c | 3,098$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.01 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…07f5backed Yes | 7c | 3,041$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed Yes | 12c | 2,939$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.25 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 15c | 2,626$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…309ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,280$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.96 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +497%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 20c | 2,082$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.44 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 225 | 29.8%67 W · 158 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…16cfbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…0937backed Yes | 2c | 1,900$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1e…583dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,750$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…1561backed Yes | 4c | 1,714$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3e…f1cfbacked Yes | 11c | 1,616$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…b217backed Yes | 8c | 1,582$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 6cpaid | +608.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,545$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 1,498$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 713 | 5.6%40 W · 673 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e7…97a8backed Yes | 3c | 1,484$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…2868backed Yes | 19c | 1,459$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…68edbacked Yes | 4c | 1,411$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…620bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,402$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…5f91backed Yes | 11c | 1,326$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…a687backed Yes | 18c | 1,278$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5529backed Yes | 4c | 1,268$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,176$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.07 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b2bebacked Yes | 13c | 1,155$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…575cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,117$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +390.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 15c | 1,110$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.06 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…34ecbacked Yes | 3c | 1,042$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…cfb7backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +193.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c90…37d5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 3c | 999.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…8387backed Yes | 11c | 923.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 6cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Yes | 3c | 877$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2982…aa17backed No | 78c | 875$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 66cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x502a…b028backed Yes | 12c | 828$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…ff7dbacked Yes | 3c | 811.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92cc…779dbacked Yes | 6c | 800$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 4c | 761.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…2d7dbacked Yes | 16c | 643.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…01d6backed Yes | 7c | 635.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.23 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 4c | 634.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…f6c3backed Yes | 6c | 627.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…34b8backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7465…0ed0backed No | 78c | 603.07$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec6…7edbbacked Yes | 16c | 589.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9246…2736backed Yes | 16c | 571.47$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 21c | 550$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…4892backed Yes | 4c | 535.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 22cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 5c | 533$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked No | 79c | 509.98$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 12c | 504.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 79c | 499.99$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 497.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…06c0backed Yes | 16c | 492.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddcd…e2acbacked Yes | 11c | 461.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc47…a4efbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…3f6abacked Yes | 19c | 409.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf727…2aecbacked No | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fe…067dbacked Yes | 11c | 386.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 371.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 118 | 16.1%19 W · 99 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 3c | 360$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 339.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 203 | 6.4%13 W · 190 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f63…8552backed Yes | 4c | 304.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…6e70backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…46debacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba9…cb2cbacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…6330backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +147.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…f3ffbacked Yes | 4c | 289.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +165%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 18c | 283$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd324…b23cbacked Yes | 8c | 269.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb74…c0a7backed Yes | 4c | 267.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb68…f0dfbacked Yes | 4c | 265.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…a595backed Yes | 4c | 265.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 43c | 259.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.6wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 12c | 258.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 11c | 252.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4e30backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.