Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde9b8f46dc19142f21ee6d5feceee36cbe380b084bea429f423d2004ef2a1a12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $394,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dbc…df52backed MOUZ | 0c | 76,602$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 62,029$24,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,175.94 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 63c | 22,127$13,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,844.86 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 60c | 12,122$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.94 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed MOUZ | 58c | 10,898$6,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,311.74 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 8,861$3,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,447.3 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 59c | 8,699$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.46 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 8,657$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.59 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 63c | 6,779$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.25 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed MOUZ | 59c | 4,731$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.46 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 58c | 4,574$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,658.42 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Virtus.pro | 29c | 4,297$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,068.41 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 4,133$1,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.07 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 3,420$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.85 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…e96fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 3,104$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.66 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed MOUZ | 69c | 2,996$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.65 | 127 | 20.5%26 W · 101 L | -22.6wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed MOUZ | 64c | 2,935$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.53 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,755$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.56 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 2,631$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.15 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked MOUZ | 62c | 2,606$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.46 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,579$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.3 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 2,571$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 59c | 2,127$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.74 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Virtus.pro | 59c | 2,060$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.78 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked MOUZ | 50c | 2,002$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.06 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 32c | 1,976$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.59 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,946$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.13 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,800$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,750$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.98 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 52c | 1,720$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.92 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 1,655$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.92 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,592$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.96 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,559$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.87 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed MOUZ | 63c | 1,546$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.98 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,469$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.02 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Virtus.pro | 10c | 1,396$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.18 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,355$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.45 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 1,344$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.51 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Virtus.pro | 27c | 1,306$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.94 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Virtus.pro | 68c | 1,209$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.47 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked MOUZ | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 122 | 17.2%21 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,155$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.98 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 61c | 1,113$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.81 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,032$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.22 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,002$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.03 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked MOUZ | 58c | 992.29$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 61c | 985.64$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.5 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 980.74$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.86 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb183…0badbacked MOUZ | 65c | 973.63$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 968.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.34 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed MOUZ | 10c | 917$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed MOUZ | 60c | 854.03$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed MOUZ | 61c | 820.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.31 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed MOUZ | 6c | 810$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +150.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked MOUZ | 61c | 797.46$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.33 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked MOUZ | 61c | 778$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.58 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed MOUZ | 64c | 770$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4898…a723backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 743.44$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.64 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 35c | 736.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.81 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed MOUZ | 63c | 721.91$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 61c | 716.08$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.61 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed MOUZ | 58c | 706.61$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.65 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 667.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.96 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 659.18$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.18 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…eaf5backed MOUZ | 61c | 646.36$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.28 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked MOUZ | 80c | 646.15$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.92 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 55c | 627.07$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.87 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 624.37$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.87 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 621.31$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.29 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 617.86$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.38 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 614.61$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.49 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 65c | 613.08$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.14 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 32c | 602.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 599.99$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 596.89$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.1 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 33c | 567.29$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.13 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 548.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.77 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 523.36$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.07 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked MOUZ | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 18cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked MOUZ | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac2…f35fbacked MOUZ | 61c | 499.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 495.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.38 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 64c | 494.6$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.54 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Virtus.pro | 6c | 489.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.36 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked MOUZ | 59c | 488.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.32 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Virtus.pro | 37c | 468.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 49c | 463.02$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.88 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 460.39$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro | 39c | 444.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.45 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 439.06$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.88 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked MOUZ | 27c | 418.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked MOUZ | 67c | 415.59$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.45 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…b4c8backed MOUZ | 28c | 413.28$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.85 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed MOUZ | 49c | 398.22$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 59c | 397.53$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.55 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked MOUZ | 63c | 394.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.74 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked MOUZ | 58c | 394.11$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.46 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 382.35$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.13 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.