Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b59bb65c5d94b938a182547f339e70289857fb9a9158835e4ae12ba83aa62d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $158,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 42,551$16,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,356.96 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 10,243$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.3 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 59c | 8,417$4,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,437.51 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MOUZ | 71c | 6,556$4,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 70c | 6,136$4,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 4,654$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.67 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked MOUZ | 56c | 4,500$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked Virtus.pro | 18c | 4,063$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 61c | 3,836$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.97 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 61c | 3,809$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.57 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed MOUZ | 54c | 3,464$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.4 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 69c | 3,352$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.89 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 3,264$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.19 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 58c | 3,230$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.31 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 41c | 3,081$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.93 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 3,000$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.84 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,846$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.42 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Virtus.pro | 22c | 2,762$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.95 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 56c | 2,754$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.99 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 53c | 2,686$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.51 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed MOUZ | 45c | 2,320$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ | 79c | 2,212$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.05 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 2,059$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.13 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…05d6backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,946$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 71c | 1,940$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,802$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.33 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,768$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.72 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,609$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.8 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,594$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.67 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,541$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.65 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,463$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.2 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,375$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.54 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 72c | 1,297$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.96 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 72c | 1,200$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,168$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.13 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,130$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ | 61c | 975.7$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.11 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked MOUZ | 61c | 908.26$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.69 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed MOUZ | 45c | 893.16$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.1 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 49c | 887.04$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.39 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ | 49c | 807.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.01 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Virtus.pro | 13c | 787.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 726.31$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.83 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 43c | 680.86$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.22 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked MOUZ | 57c | 615$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.45 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 78c | 613.36$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.89 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed MOUZ | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 587$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed MOUZ | 46c | 555.84$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked MOUZ | 71c | 520.68$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.85 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 52c | 496.89$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed MOUZ | 73c | 467.39$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 466.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked MOUZ | 45c | 439.16$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.41 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked MOUZ | 55c | 429.91$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.11 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 428.26$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.53 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed MOUZ | 60c | 426.38$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 423.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.81 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked MOUZ | 60c | 402.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 35c | 370.56$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 55c | 352.23$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.5 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 330$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed MOUZ | 68c | 318.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 315.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.14 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 290.55$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 34c | 288.47$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed MOUZ | 64c | 281.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 242.31$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 45c | 219.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 25c | 216.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked MOUZ | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked MOUZ | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 64c | 173.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 49c | 163.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 158$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MOUZ | 59c | 153.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed MOUZ | 59c | 149.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a1…1606backed MOUZ | 42c | 147.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5f94backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 140$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed MOUZ | 72c | 135.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Virtus.pro | 26c | 133.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 245 | 18.8%46 W · 199 L | -31.2wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 131.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked MOUZ | 50c | 128.24$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed MOUZ | 69c | 119.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 118.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 114.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 606 | 60.7%368 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed MOUZ | 68c | 113.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Virtus.pro | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Virtus.pro | 29c | 107.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed MOUZ | 72c | 106$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked MOUZ | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…e12dbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed MOUZ | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.