Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x986286a79ac8841164a61a0930afea3dc97f15a6c5acfe41acb0abafad49b7cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Virtus.pro, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 11,635$5,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,512.74 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed MOUZ | 55c | 10,446$5,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,787.2 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 7,324$4,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.46 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 4,512$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.25 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 3,779$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,922.47 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 51c | 2,950$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.13 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 2,486$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.6 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,983$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.92 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…5639backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,942$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.55 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 1,602$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,403$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.13 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,191$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.71 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,169$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.94 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,161$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.14 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,118$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.73 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ | 51c | 1,102$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.12 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 1,084$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,030$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.97 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 974.49$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.01 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed MOUZ | 54c | 836.87$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.91 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 805.39$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 252 | 46.8%118 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 60c | 786.99$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.2 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ | 39c | 750.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.6 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked MOUZ | 52c | 728.38$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.87 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 39c | 712.49$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.77 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked MOUZ | 56c | 691.4$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.52 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed MOUZ | 57c | 686.49$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.85 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 664.65$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.53 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed MOUZ | 50c | 608$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 595.43$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.22 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…d45bbacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 563.69$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed MOUZ | 60c | 536.79$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa69…6e45backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 529.87$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.22 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Virtus.pro | 60c | 526.78$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.56 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…c1cfbacked MOUZ | 38c | 520$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed MOUZ | 37c | 460.02$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.19 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked MOUZ | 52c | 454.22$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.22 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…12edbacked Virtus.pro | 67c | 435.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked MOUZ | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed MOUZ | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 398.05$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.88 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked MOUZ | 43c | 396.69$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.53 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 52c | 372.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.75 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 39c | 367.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.24 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 365$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 354.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 46c | 340.23$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.69 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked MOUZ | 52c | 324.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.57 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 51c | 320.61$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked MOUZ | 55c | 314.28$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c0…c3b9backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 312.15$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 300.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.05 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 280$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ | 43c | 278.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.17 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 277.39$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.77 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed MOUZ | 56c | 274.83$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.27 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed MOUZ | 56c | 260.79$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked MOUZ | 64c | 247.73$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.55 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 245.79$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked MOUZ | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 236.42$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.84 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…8a0bbacked MOUZ | 43c | 231.77$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.37 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked MOUZ | 46c | 228.47$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed MOUZ | 60c | 227.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.35 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 216.31$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked MOUZ | 50c | 213.09$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 210.42$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 42c | 196.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed MOUZ | 59c | 195.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.09 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 192.97$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 177.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 321 | 48.3%155 W · 166 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked MOUZ | 58c | 160$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed MOUZ | 50c | 149.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed MOUZ | 51c | 145.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked MOUZ | 48c | 137.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.46 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked MOUZ | 51c | 135.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2555…5254backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 127.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.06 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MOUZ | 55c | 125$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 121.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MOUZ | 50c | 116.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 97.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed MOUZ | 51c | 94.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed MOUZ | 39c | 90.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ | 44c | 84.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a89…3e2abacked Virtus.pro | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 300 | 41.3%124 W · 176 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 78.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 46c | 76.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 39c | 72.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5f94backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ | 38c | 65.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 62.87$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked MOUZ | 48c | 58.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked MOUZ | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed MOUZ | 42c | 57.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 53.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.