Tennis · resolved market

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953eb1580adcc167a330f911576bba0ea7291fbbae099cc39817ff4d6288ac0c

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $81,970
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,970 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x26cf…1351backed Yes	23c	8,733$2,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,008.64	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.23per pick	40cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	21c	6,391$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.47	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a48…2a4cbacked Yes	19c	5,662$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,075.69	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	78c	5,607$4,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,218.38	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Yes	22c	4,004$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.87	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed No	77c	3,500$2,695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.97	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed No	77c	2,501$1,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.25	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-56.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Yes	23c	2,478$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	198	35.4%70 W · 128 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes	12c	2,335$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.26	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-59.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes	23c	2,174$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	459	57.5%264 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x591a…40a8backed Yes	30c	2,005$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.17	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-63%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	30c	2,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.98	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8fc…ac2bbacked Yes	19c	1,100$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes	23c	869.57$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-11.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8505…e4ddbacked Yes	23c	858.09$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.36	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes	22c	796.58$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.25	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	20c	782.24$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.22	1,865	44.7%834 W · 1,031 L	+36.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a6…b274backed Yes	14c	698.5$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d22…e2bbbacked Yes	23c	652.17$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	78c	601.69$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.58	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes	22c	600$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No	78c	569.39$444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.08	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No	73c	556$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.68	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb826…e3ddbacked Yes	18c	555$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5383…e30fbacked Yes	23c	539.66$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.58	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6be…a9a7backed Yes	22c	516$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.68	134	41.8%56 W · 78 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes	23c	500$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd843…7d56backed Yes	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe69e…61d2backed Yes	21c	487.12$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes	29c	459.99$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.78	242	45%109 W · 133 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Yes	22c	454.35$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	132	31.1%41 W · 91 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	19c	452.63$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb540…9ca8backed Yes	23c	450$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb6…9452backed Yes	23c	444.91$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.33	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe35…57c3backed Yes	21c	436.76$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d34…15a1backed Yes	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1945…749dbacked Yes	22c	410.3$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a31…02a2backed Yes	21c	400$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked No	78c	387.09$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.16	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f79…69cabacked Yes	19c	327$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.13	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08d2…e638backed Yes	23c	313.39$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670d…3f3fbacked Yes	16c	311.18$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae2…0947backed Yes	10c	304.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes	21c	288.98$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.39	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes	15c	273.05$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8683…3206backed Yes	19c	263.06$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…7697backed Yes	23c	260.87$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	87	25.3%22 W · 65 L	+6.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+54%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5c4…d6a9backed Yes	16c	217.81$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.85	5	60%3 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1d2…8d6cbacked Yes	23c	211.39$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef81…d589backed Yes	23c	207.13$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1736…688cbacked Yes	22c	201.22$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-36.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Yes	23c	182.61$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	725	42.6%309 W · 416 L	-20.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xada4…c779backed Yes	19c	170.47$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ba…6b3cbacked Yes	24c	153.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.9	72	50%36 W · 36 L	-8.5wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No	79c	130.81$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.55	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	22c	121$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.62	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	73c	116.61$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	4,921	38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L	-20.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3188…1b22backed Yes	23c	113.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…b3a9backed Yes	22c	111.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	101	34.7%35 W · 66 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Yes	23c	108.7$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-25%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa54c…30bbbacked Yes	19c	107.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa109…c0b8backed Yes	23c	107.61$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+96.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52c1…1084backed Yes	23c	106.52$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.19per pick	36cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Yes	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ee0…1006backed Yes	19c	104.05$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	74	62.2%46 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f83…0e8dbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	389	47.3%184 W · 205 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Yes	21c	93.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa272…b515backed Yes	23c	90.17$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc3…e040backed Yes	23c	89.74$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81d…20f7backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8544…94d6backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	+2.8wins	+0.08per pick	34cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2457…898ebacked Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e51…df61backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	33cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes	18c	71.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.93	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x335c…a65cbacked Yes	23c	66.21$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f45…f101backed Yes	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	49.5%54 W · 55 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6656…5743backed Yes	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4024…959fbacked Yes	23c	65.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23d…5be1backed Yes	21c	62.46$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b9…5a7fbacked Yes	27c	59.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7225…3d5bbacked Yes	20c	55.26$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aba…74c0backed Yes	19c	51.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ed…09dabacked Yes	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.2wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ebb…927bbacked Yes	23c	47.83$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No	71c	45$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e45…3662backed No	78c	25.64$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+74.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e28…4983backed No	78c	19.23$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.23	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	78cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	73c	18.52$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event