Tennis · resolved market

Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7ebf71bded5eba99e7fa49e81a271063466c49fb1f0b02a2b5f5987916d9558

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $55,776
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $44,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,776 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1646…2f81backed Yes	2c	3,312$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.15	317	49.5%157 W · 160 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,491$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.95	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Yes	2c	2,372$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.69	474	53.2%252 W · 222 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb5…6210backed Yes	1c	2,035$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.9	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+105.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,107	42.8%474 W · 633 L	-20.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-62%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes	2c	1,949$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.18	57	1.8%1 W · 56 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x86d3…acedbacked Yes	1c	1,731$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3662…ca07backed Yes	3c	1,679$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	3c	1,500$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8798…76cebacked Yes	2c	1,431$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.68	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-88.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	2c	1,359$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	82	8.5%7 W · 75 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9524…86cfbacked Yes	2c	1,337$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.91	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	1,256$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes	2c	1,250$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	372	38.2%142 W · 230 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,212$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.63	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	2c	1,054$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.51	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…a31bbacked Yes	3c	928.65$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	2c	725.36$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.46	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…9749backed Yes	2c	500$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb1…b027backed Yes	3c	493.15$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.9wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	3c	441.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.55	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d6…64fbbacked Yes	4c	355.05$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Karolína Muchová win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event