CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Johnny Speeds (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab5b297ee471c341058545fddac12d564fd8c3337f0a26da37d16de4b381e9bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Sinners | 67c | 5,037$3,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.37 | 238 | 48.3%115 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 66c | 4,928$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.67 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Sinners | 54c | 4,476$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.17 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 3,072$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.58 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 2,750$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Sinners | 58c | 2,541$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.17 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 2,480$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.4 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Johnny Speeds | 44c | 2,347$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 2,128$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.52 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 1,232$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.54 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Sinners | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Johnny Speeds | 42c | 976.53$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.29 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 50c | 856.12$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.35 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Johnny Speeds | 48c | 834.18$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.69 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 726.38$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.13 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 39c | 643.96$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 589.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Johnny Speeds | 47c | 567.3$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.63 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Johnny Speeds | 39c | 549.58$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94f…ce94backed Sinners | 55c | 503.07$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Sinners | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 466.02$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.82 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 457.24$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.24 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.52 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109f…1691backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 419.06$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.67 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Sinners | 68c | 403.86$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.23 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Johnny Speeds | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Johnny Speeds | 46c | 295.12$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Johnny Speeds | 38c | 275.72$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Johnny Speeds | 37c | 266.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sinners | 58c | 253.39$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…fc9bbacked Sinners | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sinners | 71c | 245.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 240.24$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Johnny Speeds | 40c | 231.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Johnny Speeds | 70c | 223.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 182$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Sinners | 55c | 177.41$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 174.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sinners | 56c | 173.21$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 148.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Sinners | 71c | 145.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Sinners | 54c | 144.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 138.18$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 336 | 27.7%93 W · 243 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 68c | 137.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 38c | 136.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Johnny Speeds | 28c | 132$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…5ff0backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 118.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Sinners | 51c | 117.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Johnny Speeds | 22c | 111.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 107.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Johnny Speeds | 47c | 107.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Sinners | 55c | 107.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.01 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Johnny Speeds | 19c | 105.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 104.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…00a5backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 101.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 100.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc78…a301backed Johnny Speeds | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 99.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Sinners | 53c | 95.15$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Johnny Speeds | 26c | 95.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Johnny Speeds | 59c | 93.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Sinners | 61c | 92.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Sinners | 66c | 90.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Sinners | 54c | 89.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Sinners | 67c | 88.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sinners | 49c | 87.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Sinners | 55c | 80.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Sinners | 68c | 66.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fe…09c9backed Johnny Speeds | 34c | 64.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Johnny Speeds | 36c | 62.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Sinners | 67c | 58.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1634…b32fbacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 56.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 54.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed Sinners | 66c | 53.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…9aa3backed Sinners | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed Sinners | 68c | 50.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 50.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Johnny Speeds | 37c | 49.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Johnny Speeds | 42c | 48.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Sinners | 66c | 48.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…c3ffbacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 47.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Johnny Speeds | 34c | 46.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Sinners | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Johnny Speeds | 59c | 45.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 45.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Johnny Speeds | 32c | 44.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…af78backed Johnny Speeds | 33c | 40.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8712…241fbacked Sinners | 55c | 36.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…d11fbacked Sinners | 55c | 34.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Johnny Speeds | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 153 | 58.2%89 W · 64 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Johnny Speeds | 46c | 30.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 27.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Johnny Speeds | 41c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84a9…dbc4backed Sinners | 55c | 26.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…737abacked Johnny Speeds | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.