TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1d05…ef4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT4245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Emma Navarro vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Set 1 Winner: Damm vs Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.94
Bonn: Pavel Kotov vs Daniel Galanbacked Daniel Galan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+58%+$75.36
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kei Nishikori vs Juncheng Shangbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
San Marino: Daniel Rincon vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Daniel Rincon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascualbacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 2 Winner: Bondar vs Korpatschbacked Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+165.3%+$94.21
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hanfmann vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$29.35
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$12.49
Bloomfield Hills: Stefan Kozlov vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Estoril Open: Gonzalo Bueno vs Tiago Pereirabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Zug: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.79
Tampere: Inaki Montes vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$32.86
Athens Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Arantxa Rus vs Ekaterina Kazionovabacked Arantxa Rus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$22.11
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36.2
Damas vs. Faria: Match O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Tondela vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$18.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Disguised (+1.5)backed Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.79
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.