South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x845f833d0711b6a6002f75348bcb6c400b863a1b8ef9636ff77a99ca9c4053a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 6,505$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.69 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 40c | 3,707$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.68 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…00f7backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed No | 66c | 2,485$1,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 64c | 1,797$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.37 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,056$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed Yes | 5c | 1,015$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 88 | 18.2%16 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 67c | 801.4$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Yes | 35c | 536.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…4e9abacked Yes | 35c | 310.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 8c | 300$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes | 34c | 299.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 64c | 295.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.38 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 64c | 257.37$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.49 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 221.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 26c | 214$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 19c | 190$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec1e…0d9cbacked Yes | 12c | 170.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 65c | 153.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 34c | 147.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 136.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.43 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 119.66$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 45c | 114$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 75c | 113.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 61c | 94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked Yes | 45c | 90.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 56c | 80.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 55c | 73.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 44c | 71.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 21c | 70.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Yes | 36c | 65.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Yes | 35c | 60.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked No | 67c | 57.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…d370backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -8.8wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 35c | 45.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 67c | 43.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed No | 72c | 42.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 30c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 31c | 35.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x924a…01dbbacked Yes | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 55c | 26.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 64c | 21.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked No | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?Yes won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.