South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c82bd3777791fe8043f07a630d0f95ec56b9601b9b3864c41661e1d812386b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No | 22c | 1,635$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 57c | 1,580$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.52 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 76c | 1,541$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed No | 66c | 1,306$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.78 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 34c | 1,243$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 983.92$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 63c | 899.85$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.93 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 40c | 866.75$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.72 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cda…1397backed Yes | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.33 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed No | 60c | 748.58$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.77 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 617.42$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 75c | 559.27$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.83 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 41c | 475.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 474.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 386.12$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.35 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed Yes | 23c | 351.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.62 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 76c | 328.95$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 4c | 280$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 97 | 10.3%10 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709d…f749backed Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 43c | 241.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 241.72$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.73 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 43c | 190$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.3 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 78 | 14.1%11 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked No | 57c | 148.77$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 17c | 147.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.85 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…1525backed Yes | 35c | 133$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 34c | 130.32$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.01 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 22c | 129.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…80abbacked Yes | 24c | 109$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 35c | 101.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.59 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 25c | 99.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…19bdbacked Yes | 68c | 99.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 34c | 85.24$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 37c | 81.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 29c | 74.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13db…3e4dbacked No | 78c | 68.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 67.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 59c | 66.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 53c | 45.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 34c | 44.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 62c | 42.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 51c | 42.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 73c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e8…b560backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 21cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 30c | 38.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 77cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed No | 67c | 32.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc2…93d7backed Yes | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…8ad6backed No | 78c | 29.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 78cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1d97backed Yes | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 27.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Yes | 78c | 24.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 56c | 22.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 71.9%46 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-26?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?No won
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-07-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.