Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec128695160975727e9b9a5b3ea054123dd5d8ff1ae5fe063017722cc1be204
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blockxof Darderi, Blockx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Darderi | 36c | 5,923$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132.13 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Blockx | 62c | 3,323$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.72 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Blockx | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Blockx | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Darderi | 38c | 1,537$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.85 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Darderi | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.18 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Blockx | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Blockx | 64c | 773.28$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.38 | 265 | 55.8%148 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darderi | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Darderi | 40c | 584.88$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.31 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Blockx | 61c | 474.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.46 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…fab5backed Darderi | 39c | 451.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.98 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Blockx | 64c | 447.38$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Darderi | 37c | 286$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Blockx | 64c | 221.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Blockx | 63c | 194.66$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Darderi | 37c | 182.28$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Darderi | 38c | 177.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Blockx | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Blockx | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Blockx | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Darderi | 39c | 131.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Darderi | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Blockx | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Blockx | 63c | 79.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Blockx | 62c | 68.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Darderi | 38c | 67.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Blockx | 39c | 67.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Blockx | 38c | 58.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Darderi | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darderi | 71c | 55.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Darderi | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Blockx | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Darderi | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Darderi | 40c | 29.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Blockx | 60c | 26.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed Blockx | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Darderi (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)this page
- Alexander Blockx vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Blockx vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Blockx vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano DarderiAlexander Blockx won
- Set 1 Winner: Blockx vs DarderiDarderi won
- Set 2 Winner: Blockx vs DarderiBlockx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.