TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Elena Malygina vs Lisa Zaar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elena Malyginaof Elena Malygina, Lisa Zaar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lisa Zaar42c46,792$19,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,637.638,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Elena Malygina33c13,307$4,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,900.972437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Elena Malygina39c11,732$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,131.7671729.8%214 W · 503 L-39.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Lisa Zaar43c7,393$3,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,184.034,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Elena Malygina40c4,896$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,915.891,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lisa Zaar39c4,083$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,590.688,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Lisa Zaar68c3,114$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.51,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Elena Malygina51c2,419$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.3362956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lisa Zaar75c1,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1259,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Elena Malygina55c1,402$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Elena Malygina36c1,021$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.481,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Elena Malygina59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41025144.6%112 W · 139 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid0%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Lisa Zaar55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9936440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x524c…20c0backed Elena Malygina57c767.52$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.169053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Elena Malygina80c750.38$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.353,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lisa Zaar70c715.58$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.744,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Elena Malygina62c571.48$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.781,04236.5%380 W · 662 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Elena Malygina57c531.23$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6364065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8806…d9f1backed Elena Malygina46c526.19$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1916726.3%44 W · 123 L-18.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Elena Malygina28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9915541.9%65 W · 90 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lisa Zaar27c408.86$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.855,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f7…4c3abacked Elena Malygina78c382.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3614775.5%111 W · 36 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Lisa Zaar74c337.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Lisa Zaar45c333.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Elena Malygina34c254.09$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.71,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Lisa Zaar65c244.18$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.9938066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Elena Malygina56c232.14$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1442930.5%131 W · 298 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Elena Malygina45c210.49$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6127836.7%102 W · 176 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Elena Malygina64c210.11$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6436621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed Lisa Zaar48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Lisa Zaar11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c6…e1e7backed Lisa Zaar45c195.56$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88214.8%1 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick26cpaid-92.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Lisa Zaar74c186.11$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.724,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…bebdbacked Lisa Zaar57c181.76$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3434748.1%167 W · 180 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Elena Malygina47c180.43$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7363648%305 W · 331 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f6…07dabacked Elena Malygina34c175.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Elena Malygina43c172.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.352,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Elena Malygina50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lisa Zaar53c136.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.021,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…0350backed Elena Malygina76c132.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.128461.9%52 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Lisa Zaar16c111.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Elena Malygina26c104.8$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.835,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19f…8d44backed Elena Malygina60c100.15$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.152277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb306…9873backed Lisa Zaar59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.71758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Lisa Zaar40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9939844.2%176 W · 222 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Elena Malygina61c99.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.6860962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Lisa Zaar41c97.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010152.5%53 W · 48 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Elena Malygina54c97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.161,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Lisa Zaar41c86.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.416,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Lisa Zaar46c81.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.922,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf367…551ebacked Elena Malygina33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Elena Malygina27c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.752,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Elena Malygina39c74.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.361,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Lisa Zaar74c74.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9410159.4%60 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Lisa Zaar41c73.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3088935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff0…2fbabacked Lisa Zaar57c72.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417759.7%46 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Lisa Zaar47c69.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.981,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Lisa Zaar74c67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Lisa Zaar47c63.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.729147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d4…7c0dbacked Lisa Zaar42c61.89$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9335461.3%217 W · 137 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Elena Malygina26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6927556%154 W · 121 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…a760backed Elena Malygina29c56.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.251668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Lisa Zaar58c56.9$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d05…ef4abacked Lisa Zaar53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Lisa Zaar66c56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9635060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf39…3394backed Elena Malygina57c52.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4133462.6%209 W · 125 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ce8…4dd6backed Elena Malygina36c46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4457950.9%295 W · 284 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6bfd…f4c4backed Lisa Zaar68c43.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.513658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…bebbbacked Elena Malygina56c41.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3820146.8%94 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Lisa Zaar38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.289134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9575…cd83backed Lisa Zaar64c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8422046.8%103 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Elena Malygina44c30.49$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.131,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Lisa Zaar68c29.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9650268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Lisa Zaar50c29.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5914156%79 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8d…d241backed Elena Malygina49c29.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Lisa Zaar54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1558750.4%296 W · 291 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Lisa Zaar72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044952.8%237 W · 212 L+1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36fe…b131backed Lisa Zaar38c27.54$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4913554.1%73 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe01…b45dbacked Lisa Zaar75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7522377.6%173 W · 50 L+0.6wins0.00per pick77cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Elena Malygina48c21.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4432726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Elena Malygina56c21.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4345053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b7…1fb7backed Lisa Zaar74c20.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…86b1backed Elena Malygina72c16.22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.523458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e0…1d15backed Lisa Zaar67c16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.726975.4%52 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2909…d8d9backed Elena Malygina72c15.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.416248.4%30 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8318…34a6backed Lisa Zaar74c15.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610032%32 W · 68 L-30.3wins-0.30per pick62cpaid-51%equal weight23-0.24 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.