TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hanfmann vs. Halys: Match O/U 23.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over59c1,969$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.661,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Under41c1,563$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.063271.9%23 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Under40c1,454$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.3918542.7%79 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7c2…63d8backed Over59c1,337$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.375166.7%34 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Under44c947.13$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.041,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75c…bb4ebacked Over62c900.22$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick73cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Under41c467$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.535437%20 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xef53…4591backed Over60c333.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017543.4%76 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under41c309.44$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0455941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under41c242.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.6386835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under38c191.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6138446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over56c178.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.917757.6%102 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25d5…11fcbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Over60c172$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.212947.3%61 W · 68 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under41c169.49$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10038931.4%122 W · 267 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41cf…8268backed Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under44c169.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.722,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under47c153.19$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.157,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under37c150$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.51,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca70…3bafbacked Over53c149.34$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30dc…768ebacked Over55c132.73$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7311564.3%74 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over59c118.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.824139%16 W · 25 L-6.3wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x04a0…a986backed Over55c107.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2710965.1%71 W · 38 L+7.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under45c94.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fb…4758backed Over61c69.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over60c50.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2449151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d05…ef4abacked Over60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb044…4f93backed Over55c43.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3518…781fbacked Over55c43.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Over33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25619.6%11 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99b0…1d6bbacked Under39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.42326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Under67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.220749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0645…c08ebacked Under40c38.28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.972759.3%16 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick67cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022953.3%122 W · 107 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e5c…7b6fbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Under40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2182159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac71…b3eabacked Under41c34.15$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1515748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c33.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.997,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Over59c33.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7929147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under44c33.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4530055%165 W · 135 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d5…53d0backed Under39c33.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2517656.3%99 W · 77 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a9…3a77backed Under40c33.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9811551.3%59 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f3d…95b1backed Under39c28.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2122235.1%78 W · 144 L+1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710b…a2ebbacked Over54c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab42…fd88backed Over57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked Under42c24.39$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1527239%106 W · 166 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bdf…ac0cbacked Over54c22.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.45540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe625…3f5dbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.