CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2e6fbc6d9d7a369be769cd6ad237554179cedd0709d905d29ccdd1c7c6ca2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TDKof SPARTA, TDK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TDK | 52c | 393.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed SPARTA | 55c | 209.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked TDK | 48c | 106.25$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed SPARTA | 55c | 100.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed SPARTA | 48c | 97.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed SPARTA | 51c | 95.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 45c | 74.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked TDK | 42c | 64.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.32 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed TDK | 51c | 51.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed TDK | 47c | 45.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed SPARTA | 50c | 44.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0a…1584backed TDK | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked TDK | 58c | 38.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed SPARTA | 49c | 23.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DTDK won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs TDK - Map 1 WinnerTDK won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.