TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Fils
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,502
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,502 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1467…4372backed Fils39c18,170$7,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,074.78060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Sinner61c16,048$9,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,258.5915845.6%72 W · 86 L-12.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Fils42c4,260$1,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.5830840.6%125 W · 183 L-23.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Sinner63c2,535$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.899764.9%63 W · 34 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Fils39c2,037$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.543135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Sinner61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7805250%26 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Fils36c1,622$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.087,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Sinner64c1,433$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.551650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Fils36c1,378$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9511438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Sinner61c1,290$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.130847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Fils40c1,143$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46037351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0206…bf76backed Sinner62c1,082$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.264763.8%30 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Sinner56c1,071$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.435046%23 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde87…11a2backed Sinner62c1,024$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.116835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sinner60c1,000$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40527944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Fils37c999.98$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9929146%134 W · 157 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Fils39c916.82$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35662545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8227…0bccbacked Sinner62c869.19$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.293650%18 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sinner58c859.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.337,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fils36c800$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.269,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcea6…5ce3backed Fils38c763.16$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2904136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Sinner67c749.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4594968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Fils40c619.68$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018543.2%80 W · 105 L-13.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Fils44c569.45$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25032763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Sinner61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19535839.4%141 W · 217 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9073…13b3backed Sinner62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1903046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Fils38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19034242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Sinner61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1957751.9%40 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b75…6679backed Sinner64c476.25$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2512350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Sinner64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.753161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a55…6ce4backed Sinner53c457.48$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Fils40c399.98$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Sinner63c389.24$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.245347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Sinner70c377.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.424340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Sinner57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8815337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Fils44c338.04$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Fils30c332.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Sinner60c330$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13213563%85 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Sinner62c322.56$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.577981%64 W · 15 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick71cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Sinner66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32df…cce8backed Sinner63c288.2$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.631741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x94b4…1eccbacked Fils5c287.31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd20b…3a20backed Sinner63c284$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.21181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick66cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Fils38c262.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Fils31c250.32$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.62,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Fils37c246.75$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.336032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…012ebacked Fils37c244.84$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Fils28c239.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6812536.8%46 W · 79 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Sinner63c222.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2254249.3%267 W · 275 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Sinner59c199.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Fils38c169.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.414851.4%76 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Sinner63c159.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.1924747.4%117 W · 130 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65c…9a48backed Sinner63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Sinner64c148.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.4417138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Fils33c134.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.044,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Fils37c127.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.212,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc322…a836backed Fils41c127.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5210955%60 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9461…6be0backed Fils36c120.76$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa684…ca71backed Fils42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504847.9%23 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20cb…d211backed Sinner64c110$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.610358.3%60 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f46…85c0backed Sinner64c101.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.391163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d05…ef4abacked Sinner64c100.55$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.24245.2%19 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Fils37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.49244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8a…69acbacked Sinner63c95.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9710761.7%66 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0806…4adabacked Sinner63c90.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4814652.7%77 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Sinner58c88$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9620554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed Sinner64c86.87$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0714262.7%89 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Fils37c82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3442643.9%187 W · 239 L-1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Fils37c80.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021149.8%105 W · 106 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Sinner58c78.46$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbe…ec98backed Sinner63c77.62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.02475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Sinner64c72.19$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1910252.9%54 W · 48 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0942…f433backed Sinner63c63.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sinner72c62.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.641,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Sinner64c60.94$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.942245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x227c…b8c3backed Fils41c59.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.07933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac9…14e8backed Fils38c57.71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.931050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ba…fc31backed Fils37c53.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Fils36c53.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1711832.2%38 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ace…b219backed Fils38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012463.7%79 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Fils38c50.84$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3230053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65af…df77backed Fils40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208347%39 W · 44 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick62cpaid-25%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Sinner61c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.710242.2%43 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Fils38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.942,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3e…b265backed Sinner57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.867755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…b5c5backed Sinner73c43.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.749057.8%52 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Fils30c43.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1324931.3%78 W · 171 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445b…cc32backed Sinner62c41.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.945354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Sinner74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.54862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa179…60cebacked Fils38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-50.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Fils37c37.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7522352.5%117 W · 106 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Sinner56c35.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6553544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Sinner64c32.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Fils36c32.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.817758.8%104 W · 73 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Sinner63c31.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8360661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf9…dde4backed Fils38c31.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.042060%12 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Sinner53c31.46$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7936535.1%128 W · 237 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Sinner64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2559466.7%396 W · 198 L-1.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac76…c542backed Sinner63c30.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.162263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Sinner56c28.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4759565.4%389 W · 206 L+17.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.