Mls · resolved market

Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b1a1308b9d460f57b1c560056e5a721f2d9bf6295007c69eaf08f10a0699fcf

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Portland Timbersof Houston Dynamo, Portland Timbers
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $154,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,871 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Mls
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Portland Timbers	65c	85,703$55,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,214.37	130	53.1%69 W · 61 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Houston Dynamo	36c	72,320$25,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,887.07	156	47.4%74 W · 82 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Houston Dynamo	34c	53,353$18,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,134.7	96	49%47 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Portland Timbers	64c	15,488$9,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,565.44	88	45.5%40 W · 48 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Portland Timbers	65c	10,058$6,578 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,480.13	124	51.6%64 W · 60 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers	65c	6,937$4,491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,446.54	3,012	43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L	-29.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Portland Timbers	65c	4,959$3,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,742.54	251	49%123 W · 128 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Portland Timbers	64c	3,500$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,260	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Portland Timbers	64c	2,500$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Houston Dynamo	37c	2,100$777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777	153	41.2%63 W · 90 L	-14.0wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-24%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portland Timbers	63c	1,536$975 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.66	971	46.1%448 W · 523 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Portland Timbers	65c	600$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Portland Timbers	64c	500$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	44	56.8%25 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Portland Timbers	64c	484.38$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.38	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Portland Timbers	64c	400$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Portland Timbers	64c	398.76$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.2	820	44.5%365 W · 455 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Portland Timbers	65c	312.81$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.31	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Portland Timbers	62c	300$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Houston Dynamo	38c	261.83$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.47	50	24%12 W · 38 L	-5.4wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Houston Dynamo	34c	240.85$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.89	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Portland Timbers	64c	225$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Portland Timbers	66c	181.82$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.82	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Portland Timbers	62c	161.24$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.27	130	46.2%60 W · 70 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	86	53.5%46 W · 40 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	33	54.5%18 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	196	57.1%112 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Portland Timbers	64c	150$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Portland Timbers	64c	125$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	52	57.7%30 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Houston Dynamo	36c	116.94$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.92	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-5.8wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Portland Timbers	64c	115$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Portland Timbers	66c	107.24$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.46	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Portland Timbers	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Portland Timbers	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Portland Timbers	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Houston Dynamo	37c	94.24$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.77	106	48.1%51 W · 55 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Portland Timbers	64c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Portland Timbers	64c	90$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	51	54.9%28 W · 23 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Portland Timbers	64c	75$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	201	54.2%109 W · 92 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Portland Timbers	64c	66$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.76	580	43.6%253 W · 327 L	-12.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Portland Timbers	75c	65.6$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.3wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Houston Dynamo	25c	65.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.4	685	50.5%346 W · 339 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	50	46%23 W · 27 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Portland Timbers	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Portland Timbers	65c	49.85$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	139	50.4%70 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Portland Timbers	64c	46.87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.87	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Houston Dynamo	26c	46.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.04	88	36.4%32 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Portland Timbers	63c	39.99$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Houston Dynamo	37c	39.55$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+12.1wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Portland Timbers	66c	38.11$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.08	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Portland Timbers	63c	38$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.07	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Portland Timbers	64c	37.98$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	44	47.7%21 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-15%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Portland Timbers	66c	37.88$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.88	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Portland Timbers	63c	36.84$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.73	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Houston Dynamo	37c	36.63$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	71	50.7%36 W · 35 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f51…c130backed Houston Dynamo	37c	35.14$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3bfc…8eb3backed Portland Timbers	64c	31.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Portland Timbers	66c	31.29$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.64	58	50%29 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Portland Timbers	64c	31.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.26	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Portland Timbers	65c	31.23$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Portland Timbers	65c	30.77$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Portland Timbers	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.8	49	51%25 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Portland Timbers	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-9.8wins	-0.17per pick	51cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Portland Timbers	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x778e…ccd1backed Portland Timbers	64c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Houston Dynamo	37c	27.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	249	20.9%52 W · 197 L	-19.4wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6275…4e76backed Houston Dynamo	37c	27.03$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Portland Timbers	66c	26.21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.91	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Portland Timbers	63c	25.36$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.38	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Portland Timbers	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Portland Timbers	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Portland Timbers	64c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Portland Timbers	64c	24.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.69	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Portland Timbers	61c	22.15$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.64	133	47.4%63 W · 70 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Portland Timbers	64c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	39	66.7%26 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Timbers	64c	18.97$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.88	1,880	36.6%688 W · 1,192 L	-7.3wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Portland Timbers	66c	17$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.78	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Portland Timbers	65c	15.46$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.42	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)this page
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 1.5Over won
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 2.5Over won
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 3.5Over won
Houston Dynamo vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 4.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Houston Dynamo (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event