Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4df13e313b19df4edacb1bbc773bd710c486dcb9ee2eab0ffa74dd7943966d8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof MOUZ, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $818,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $931,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $818,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 536 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 34c | 101,981$34,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,828.21 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 72c | 47,590$34,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,325.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Liquid | 70c | 38,571$26,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,670.38 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 34,937$21,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,607.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed MOUZ | 35c | 33,056$11,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,561.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed MOUZ | 35c | 30,692$10,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,736.1 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…d9dcbacked MOUZ | 30c | 22,782$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid | 64c | 21,666$13,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,869.67 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 17,912$10,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,210.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Team Liquid | 64c | 17,174$10,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.18 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed MOUZ | 19c | 16,450$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,157.27 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 20c | 15,500$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 28c | 12,570$3,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,510 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 70c | 12,222$8,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.49 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 10,521$7,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 10,393$6,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.22 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 79c | 10,261$8,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.9 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c73bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 51c | 8,587$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,248.16 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b91…06c4backed MOUZ | 35c | 8,523$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Team Liquid | 54c | 8,320$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Team Liquid | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 7,551$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 45c | 7,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…7e9ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 5,970$3,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.78 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Liquid | 55c | 5,690$3,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,543.59 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed MOUZ | 20c | 5,405$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked MOUZ | 35c | 5,295$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked MOUZ | 40c | 5,203$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Team Liquid | 52c | 5,178$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,509.73 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked MOUZ | 20c | 4,600$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 46c | 4,346$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.24 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…7ba6backed MOUZ | 49c | 4,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed MOUZ | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Team Liquid | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed MOUZ | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 64c | 3,775$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,361.12 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f7…7714backed MOUZ | 49c | 3,648$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 3,591$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.9 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked MOUZ | 21c | 3,538$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.86 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 20c | 3,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 25c | 3,437$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.06 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 74c | 3,317$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.17 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed MOUZ | 33c | 3,167$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked MOUZ | 22c | 3,151$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.43 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Team Liquid | 65c | 3,128$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.92 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 3,109$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3a…780cbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 3,026$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.99 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed MOUZ | 46c | 3,013$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed MOUZ | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 3,000$2,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.35 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58bb…dd34backed Team Liquid | 80c | 2,930$2,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 17c | 2,873$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.47 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 72c | 2,778$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.78 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 14c | 2,758$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 2,679$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.87 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 29c | 2,645$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.06 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ | 19c | 2,598$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.74 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,590$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Liquid | 55c | 2,548$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.67 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team Liquid | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,370$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.98 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 17c | 2,352$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.88 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5f…ced0backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,293$1,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Team Liquid | 75c | 2,100$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,968$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.91 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed MOUZ | 19c | 1,778$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.15 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,706$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.56 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,699$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.79 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,691$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.61 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,615$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked MOUZ | 16c | 1,595$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 31c | 1,579$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.62 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked MOUZ | 6c | 1,541$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…d2a1backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,517$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…8e6cbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 1,512$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.36 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…0074backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 11c | 1,484$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.29 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,458$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.33 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed MOUZ | 27c | 1,433$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,428$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.06 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…5702backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,407$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,404$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.25 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742c…acc0backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.35 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,344$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,340$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,323$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ | 20c | 1,297$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,272$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,264$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Team Liquid | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,249$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.46 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed MOUZ | 21c | 1,231$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.52 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2this page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.