Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5750da0b80b0f00b5f4cbfc49f38084d4ddbdc9fe72e4565de3eebeec5b8ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof MOUZ, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked MOUZ | 27c | 70,195$18,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,967.57 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 69c | 32,912$22,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.3 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 22,689$16,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 73c | 22,222$16,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.94 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 18,548$13,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.65 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked MOUZ | 31c | 16,130$4,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 31c | 9,861$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,056.79 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 73c | 9,638$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.91 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 32c | 8,822$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.12 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…7ba6backed MOUZ | 32c | 7,690$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Liquid | 73c | 5,141$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.44 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Liquid | 69c | 5,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed MOUZ | 34c | 4,383$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 37c | 3,932$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.36 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 27c | 3,784$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.86 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0738…6392backed MOUZ | 27c | 3,713$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 64.2%136 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…d7e1backed MOUZ | 30c | 3,566$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…fe4abacked Team Liquid | 68c | 3,396$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.69 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Team Liquid | 70c | 3,109$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 3,031$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.68 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 68c | 2,998$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.35 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 28c | 2,888$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.64 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ | 9c | 2,839$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ | 46c | 2,830$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.66 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 29c | 2,705$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.5 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…cf9cbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 2,663$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 33c | 2,081$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.51 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 2,010$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,922$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.17 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,916$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.47 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,905$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.14 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,829$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.71 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked MOUZ | 30c | 1,740$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed MOUZ | 22c | 1,600$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 68c | 1,570$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b12…43c8backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,510$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.42 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,469$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.66 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,316$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.39 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc57…f5f4backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,215$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.04 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,161$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.62 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,137$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed MOUZ | 43c | 1,090$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.7 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,058$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,010$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked MOUZ | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Team Liquid | 65c | 998.99$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked MOUZ | 31c | 967.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 72c | 906.59$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.84 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked Team Liquid | 48c | 840.87$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.87 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Liquid | 72c | 827.79$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 74c | 811.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.56 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 37c | 791.75$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.26 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Liquid | 67c | 746$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.18 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 31c | 715.12$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.69 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 18c | 693.41$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed MOUZ | 58c | 689.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 69c | 682.97$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.97 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Liquid | 73c | 641.87$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.87 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked MOUZ | 10c | 632.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed MOUZ | 32c | 517.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a97…66f5backed Team Liquid | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed MOUZ | 10c | 490$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 65c | 464.1$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.45 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 78c | 439.28$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Team Liquid | 61c | 427.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Team Liquid | 70c | 426.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Team Liquid | 72c | 419.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed MOUZ | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked MOUZ | 29c | 399.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 24c | 399.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed MOUZ | 29c | 396.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.88 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 71c | 388.13$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Team Liquid | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 149 | 65.8%98 W · 51 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 368.49$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.49 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 27c | 363.85$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.24 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 354.73$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed MOUZ | 28c | 350.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed MOUZ | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e6…a23ebacked Team Liquid | 71c | 340$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed MOUZ | 28c | 338.17$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed MOUZ | 30c | 333.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed MOUZ | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked MOUZ | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 309.86$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7924backed Team Liquid | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 507 | 57.4%291 W · 216 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed MOUZ | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Liquid | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Team Liquid | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d96…d524backed Team Liquid | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 269 | 57.6%155 W · 114 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed Team Liquid | 65c | 277.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.54 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Liquid | 58c | 250$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed MOUZ | 41c | 249.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed MOUZ | 37c | 249.42$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed MOUZ | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb0…8ababacked MOUZ | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.