Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d8dab9fb92dfc077bcd06641994a7b687654e8024e0b97687dd824a406e0000
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ | 34c | 55,874$18,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,032.74 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 75c | 15,777$11,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,802.56 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 15,262$11,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,446.44 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed MOUZ | 23c | 13,139$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,059.44 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid | 41c | 11,056$4,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.62 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 73c | 10,916$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.84 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…b0c5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 9,981$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,186.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Team Liquid | 39c | 8,964$3,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,529.38 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed MOUZ | 45c | 6,568$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,628.66 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dd…7ba6backed MOUZ | 31c | 6,504$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,503.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed MOUZ | 26c | 6,476$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.57 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Liquid | 75c | 6,027$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Liquid | 38c | 5,172$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976.79 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed MOUZ | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…5f73backed MOUZ | 38c | 4,345$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.35 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,282$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.49 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked MOUZ | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked MOUZ | 26c | 4,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed MOUZ | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 75c | 3,407$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.91 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Team Liquid | 75c | 3,222$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.15 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,618$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.35 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed MOUZ | 24c | 2,465$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,878.7 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,423$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.87 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 26c | 2,304$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.15 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 2,215$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,639.38 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,997$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.42 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 1,973$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,797$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc740…522fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,761$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,730$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.07 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…2ffbbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,687$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,634$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.2 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,506$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.8 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,498$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.16 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f72…adc6backed Team Liquid | 70c | 1,465$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.94 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,414$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Team Liquid | 73c | 1,400$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,361$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,333$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.46 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ | 24c | 1,300$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Team Liquid | 76c | 1,288$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.37 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 74c | 1,284$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.35 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Team Liquid | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 1,249$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,233$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 213 | 46.5%99 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,117$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.11 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Liquid | 19c | 1,100$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 1,100$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.99 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbe…d7e1backed MOUZ | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed MOUZ | 26c | 1,065$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MOUZ | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a65…ffcdbacked MOUZ | 28c | 966.92$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.62 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Liquid | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05b8…1762backed MOUZ | 31c | 903.23$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 57c | 877.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 75c | 869.24$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.93 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…3382backed Team Liquid | 77c | 868.7$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…6e70backed Team Liquid | 76c | 851.07$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid | 55c | 845.55$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…37e7backed Team Liquid | 80c | 832.57$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…dadfbacked Team Liquid | 74c | 810.88$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Team Liquid | 58c | 806.58$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 24c | 798.85$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.64 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ | 65c | 765.75$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.12 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Team Liquid | 31c | 700$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 74c | 671.95$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 76c | 654.15$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.75 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eda…4498backed Team Liquid | 77c | 639.99$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.19 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda6…6ae0backed Team Liquid | 77c | 576.03$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.02 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked MOUZ | 26c | 562.41$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.51 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked MOUZ | 26c | 560.72$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.93 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 550.19$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.64 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…2c43backed Team Liquid | 56c | 536.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…72babacked MOUZ | 15c | 528.27$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.03 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 16c | 522.22$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.28 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed MOUZ | 31c | 503.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.23 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed MOUZ | 25c | 500$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 500$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c52…e75fbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 500$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 137 | 32.8%45 W · 92 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Team Liquid | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…9e92backed Team Liquid | 45c | 449$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 61c | 430$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.95 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Liquid | 70c | 422.48$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.48 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…50debacked Team Liquid | 69c | 401.88$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9317…5a5fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed Team Liquid | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed MOUZ | 23c | 383$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.91 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ | 23c | 379.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.38 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked MOUZ | 24c | 375$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.25 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed MOUZ | 27c | 349.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed MOUZ | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Team Liquid | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed MOUZ | 61c | 298.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Team Liquid | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe506…7580backed Team Liquid | 70c | 285.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…89d0backed Team Liquid | 79c | 270.49$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2Team Liquid won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.