MLB · resolved market
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e61515e1c0b5ac3a2d99ad187815f400b03dc4ddb7d3021bf8a23aa94ac0bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,868
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,868 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 11,365$4,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,886.88 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 6,549$3,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.1 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 4,500$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 43c | 2,816$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,555$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.18 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 2,281$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.7 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,774$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.68 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,736$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.48 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,700$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 1,025$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.11 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 999.98$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.65 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 800$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 715.24$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 667.48$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 638.38$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.89 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 608$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.44 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 569.82$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.21 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 516.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.96 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 42c | 516.36$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 487.72$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 454$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.3 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 422.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 422.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.72 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Houston Astros | 41c | 336.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.03 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 282.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 43c | 259.38$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.82 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 246$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 246$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 246$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed Houston Astros | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 226.79$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…b3e8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 218.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Houston Astros | 29c | 215.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.76 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed Houston Astros | 47c | 215.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 197$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Houston Astros | 42c | 191.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Houston Astros | 28c | 184.75$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Houston Astros | 45c | 176$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Houston Astros | 44c | 167.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 160.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.52 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 149$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…661dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 148.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 148.1$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.03 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…6c9bbacked Houston Astros | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 406 | 48.5%197 W · 209 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 124.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 262 | 55.7%146 W · 116 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Houston Astros | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 272 | 48.5%132 W · 140 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 218 | 51.4%112 W · 106 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…0b74backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Houston Astros | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Houston Astros | 21c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Houston Astros | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Houston Astros | 42c | 54.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…5fa2backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…3c87backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 48.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Houston Astros | 34c | 47.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 45.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 36.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Houston Astros | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 35.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4e76backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5422backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 32.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Los Angeles Angels | 76c | 30.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 457 | 49%224 W · 233 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…544bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 26.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosLos Angeles Angels won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.