NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89e0cb5053ca9d39d1990ae4054a80428bec22901eb47704f737b3857a39bdc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,790
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,790 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 46c | 24,748$11,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,398.21 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 19,528$10,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,462.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 53c | 10,782$5,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,740.55 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 9,966$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,282.26 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 2,104$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.95 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 2,096$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 1,489$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…8667backed Under | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 981.65$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.22 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 54c | 830$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 52c | 830$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 46c | 812.37$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.3 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 725$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.5 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 52c | 693.9$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.42 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 53c | 556$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.68 | 430 | 52.3%225 W · 205 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 483.7$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 46c | 407.36$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 376$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 364.96$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 54c | 337.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 50c | 255.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 47c | 220.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.24 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 53c | 198$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 175.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 32c | 142.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 55c | 130$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 47c | 116.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.24 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 115.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Under | 45c | 102.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 202 | 37.1%75 W · 127 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 98.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 89.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 44c | 88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.37 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 55c | 78.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Under | 46c | 75.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.74 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 45c | 75.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Over | 55c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 45c | 66.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6275…4e76backed Under | 51c | 58.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Under | 47c | 42.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…6ae3backed Over | 51c | 39.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 35c | 36.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 111 | 28.8%32 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 54c | 29.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 49c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…0ec9backed Over | 54c | 21.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…de37backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.