NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec068fa12c41bd4dfc857df8b79a99bd2250dd3d66b77dc01bd088e2dd6457da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,174 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 383 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Grizzlies | 49c | 388,338$189,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,468.99 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks | 51c | 150,000$76,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,500 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 51c | 99,216$50,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,616.07 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 47c | 98,395$46,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,660.29 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 53c | 69,283$36,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,663.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Mavericks | 52c | 45,756$23,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,127.32 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 47c | 45,054$21,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,178.53 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 31,463$16,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,955.18 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 46c | 27,555$12,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,675.28 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 27,470$14,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,322.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Mavericks | 52c | 25,109$13,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,052.32 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Grizzlies | 48c | 20,837$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 53c | 19,261$10,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,960.05 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Mavericks | 52c | 18,998$9,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…fdd5backed Mavericks | 52c | 18,783$9,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,015.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…3e08backed Mavericks | 52c | 15,189$7,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,291.08 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +61%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Mavericks | 54c | 15,000$8,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,902.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…0b07backed Mavericks | 52c | 12,759$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,124.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 52c | 11,603$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,574.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…afbdbacked Mavericks | 52c | 10,467$5,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,024.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mavericks | 54c | 9,912$5,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.64 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Mavericks | 52c | 9,282$4,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.36 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6da…8286backed Mavericks | 52c | 8,837$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 8,333$4,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,083.33 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb805…29d6backed Mavericks | 52c | 7,744$4,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,717.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Mavericks | 56c | 7,540$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.64 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Mavericks | 53c | 7,150$3,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.49 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…679dbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,892$3,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 45c | 6,052$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,722.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Mavericks | 54c | 5,544$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.2 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…cbf3backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,434$2,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…f831backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,189$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.72 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Mavericks | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 47c | 5,000$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.41 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks | 54c | 4,678$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Mavericks | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 53c | 3,792$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.45 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…2788backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,661$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…9807backed Mavericks | 52c | 3,565$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,333$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.17 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Grizzlies | 47c | 3,286$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.26 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 3,200$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.6 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Grizzlies | 31c | 2,845$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.61 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Mavericks | 51c | 2,704$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.92 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mavericks | 62c | 2,685$1,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.31 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Mavericks | 54c | 2,577$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.61 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…9798backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,479$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,472$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,167.41 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…c46abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,442$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Mavericks | 53c | 2,421$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.87 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa95b…6adabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,353$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…ed24backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,342$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…1548backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,294$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7196…6037backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…d1c4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,209$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4083…983abacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,110$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…b9a1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,102$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c0…7c0fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 2,088$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.24 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…ac1cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.62 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x304c…87ecbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,724$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96fb…3a4cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,714$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2b…373ebacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,684$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,666$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.99 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…c1b0backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,651$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d7…9592backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,638$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5b98backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,635$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…2ea4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,629$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x752c…78f1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,624$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9406…dac2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,623$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…aa00backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,588$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6977…c751backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,566$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…0ba2backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,564$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf2…ad4cbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,550$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7686…93f4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,518$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…2bedbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e7…cc0cbacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Mavericks | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.31 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…9977backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,494$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdb…e072backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,482$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…a2c4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,435$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d6…2c47backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,413$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…07b4backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,394$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,382$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.22 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1a…7ddabacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,380$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52df…6254backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…a430backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,355$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…008fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,348$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…580fbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,341$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1428…c0c9backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,335$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…92b8backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,316$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…3428backed Grizzlies | 48c | 1,301$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,284$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.76 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…623bbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 1,283$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.