NBA · resolved market
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ff86b2d5f7a2a288b70de724502577fe50a804d73db88d88722f98f7288932
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,125 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 52c | 99,622$51,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,803.67 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 49c | 91,860$45,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,519.04 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 34,291$17,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,487.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Mavericks | 48c | 34,265$16,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,817.8 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Mavericks | 48c | 16,850$8,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,763.7 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 15,123$7,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,729.85 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 9,000$4,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,529.63 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 8,340$4,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,170 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,185$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.42 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Mavericks | 48c | 7,643$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,974.36 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,925$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Grizzlies | 51c | 5,870$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Grizzlies | 50c | 5,740$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,700$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…bbd6backed Mavericks | 48c | 5,208$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.33 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Mavericks | 48c | 4,160$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.2 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Mavericks | 48c | 4,000$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.7 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,868$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.68 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Grizzlies | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,773$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.91 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 2,564$1,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,410$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.7 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,569$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,363$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.7 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…3becbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,090$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mavericks | 53c | 944.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.06 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 47c | 846.57$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.13 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 816$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.32 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Mavericks | 47c | 750.96$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.01 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 50c | 711.95$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 40c | 696.82$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Mavericks | 50c | 600.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.4 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Mavericks | 48c | 544.17$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.97 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -17.6wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4db9…14f5backed Mavericks | 50c | 502.73$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.73 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0707…310abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 406.74$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.44 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 50c | 351.17$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.58 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 330.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.62 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 49c | 262.7$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.98 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 261.42$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.29 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Mavericks | 50c | 255.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Grizzlies | 43c | 226.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 212.92$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…4216backed Grizzlies | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Grizzlies | 51c | 189.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Mavericks | 49c | 159.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Grizzlies | 51c | 159.65$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.26 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 53c | 151.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 57c | 147.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 140.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Mavericks | 50c | 131$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.5 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Grizzlies | 54c | 130.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies | 53c | 128.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Mavericks | 48c | 116.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Grizzlies | 40c | 101.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Grizzlies | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Grizzlies | 53c | 95.72$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…a40bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 94.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 92.59$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Mavericks | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Mavericks | 50c | 85.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…48e3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 85.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Mavericks | 50c | 83.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Grizzlies | 26c | 81.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Mavericks | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 375 | 49.6%186 W · 189 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…e738backed Mavericks | 50c | 78.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adb…f12abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Mavericks | 48c | 74.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 53c | 70.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Grizzlies | 53c | 66.16$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Mavericks | 49c | 61.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Grizzlies | 52c | 57.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Mavericks | 49c | 56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 40c | 55.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Grizzlies | 51c | 49.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e92…7e9fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Grizzlies | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Mavericks | 49c | 35.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…0074backed Grizzlies | 53c | 29.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Mavericks | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Grizzlies | 51c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 26.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)this page
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Cam Spencer: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Daniel Gafford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Khris Middleton: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Mavericks vs. GrizzliesMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Mavericks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Max Christie: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Naji Marshall: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.